Oregon Vs. Virginia Predictions | March Madness Expert Picks | Sweet 16
12 Oregon Ducks Vs. 1 Virginia Cavaliers March Madness Expert Picks
One of the teams that I have enjoyed the most during March Madness has been the Oregon Ducks. They have played without fear and with a remarkable mojo. The Ducks will need another solid showing to upset the number one seed Virginia Cavaliers in the Sweet Sixteen. Taking out Wisconsin in the first round was great, but the way Oregon did it sure put the eyes of the nation on them. The Ducks hammered the Badgers 72-54 and covered the spread as a 1.5.-point underdog.
In the next round, they would do about the same over UC Irvine, beating them 73-54 as 4.5-point favorites. Against the Anteaters, it was a crazy game, to say the least. The Ducks got hot in the last minutes of the matchup, dropping three-points from all over the place. The Ducks would finish with 13 three-pointers in the game, shooting 52% from beyond the arc. What is most astonishing about Oregon is that they were seeded 12 in the bracket. Somebody clearly made a mistake and forgot to watch Pac-12 basketball at the end of the regular season.
The Ducks have won now 10 games in a row, including the Conference title and 2 March Madness games with a 17+ difference each one. Once again Oregon is getting no respect from the betting sites. MyBookie has them at +345 to win outright in the money line and advance to the Elite 8. That’s an implied probability of winning of 22%. For a team that’s pretty much hot over the last month, there is an excellent value there.
I have Virginia as the most overrated team of the four number one seeds in the 2019 March Madness. It might be perhaps that I can get rid of the fact that this same school was eliminated in the first round last year. I understand that the team is entirely different, but that was hard to swallow back then and I still haven’t forgotten about it. Tony Bennett is a terrific coach in my eyes, but he’s mostly a defensive minded coach.
Virginia’s defensive efforts are perhaps the best in the nation, but that could only get you so far. Most of the time, the Cavaliers get trapped in a game that should have won and ended up going home early than expected. I’m thinking this is exactly the matchup and the round where the Cavs get eliminated. Give me the Ducks with the points in this one. They are playing at a very high level, especially offensively. I don’t trust Bennett and their guys to win soundly. If they make it to the next round, it will be in a close one. What’s the play? Oregon +8.5
Spread: Virginia -8.5
Money line: Oregon +345 vs. Virginia -445
Game total: 119
Date: Thursday, March 28, 2019
Game time: 8:59 PM ET
Venue: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
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