Patriots Vs. Bills – Monday Night Football Betting Odds & Predictions

Patriots Vs. Bills - Monday Night Football Betting Odds & Predictions

The Buffalo Bills were a playoffs team last season. It was their first playoffs appearance in almost 20 years. When the NFL scheduled their Monday Night Football matchup against the New England Patriots, they were thinking they will give us a great AFC East battle. Seven weeks into the season and the Patriots look to have an easy victory visiting a divisional rival instead, during the NFL week 8. New England is a 14-point favorite at Sportsbetting.ag despite playing on the road inside the division.

The betting line opened at 13.5-point, and it moved half a point up. The oddsmakers are asking the Patriots to win by 3 scores on the road to cover the spread. And that’s something. Even with the significant number, 53% of the betting public is swallowing the points and taking the road team. The game total opened at 44.5 points and is currently at 44.  Our odds are from SportsBetting.ag. Deposit today for a 50% Welcome Bonus up to $1000.

New England Patriots Vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions

Spread: Patriots -14
Money line: New England (-1100) vs. Buffalo (+775)
Game Total: 44
Date: Monday, October 29th, 2018
Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
TV: ESPN

What’s the latest Patriots betting form to face the Bills?

The Patriots were 1-2 in the first three weeks of the season, and everybody started panicking. It’s like we haven’t learned. Four weeks later they are 5-2 at the top of the AFC East division looking like the AFC contender everybody knows and fears. Last week New England beat the Bears 38-31 in Chicago. They covered the spread as a 2-point road favorite. It was the third time in the previous four weeks they covered the spread.

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The offense is clicking since their last loss to Detroit in week three. They are averaging 39.5 points per game in their previous four outings. They haven’t faced particularly great defenses beating the Miami Dolphins, Indianapolis Colts, Kansas City Chiefs and the Bears, but they did what they had to. Against Buffalo is a similar scenario. The offense is going to move the ball around and put their usual show under Tom Brady while the defense will try to contain a Bills offense that has looked like a joke at times. Brady has beaten Buffalo 28 times on his career. That’s the most by any quarterback in the history of the NFL against a particular opponent. He’s 14-2 on his career playing at Buffalo.

The Patriots do have some concerns on offense. They won’t have RB Sony Michel as he’s dealing with a knee injury that might keep him out for a while. TE Rob Gronkowski didn’t play last week against Chicago. He’s was a limited participant of the Wednesday practice with a back injury. New England is 22-3 against the Bills in their 25 games and 5-0 in their last five when those games are in Buffalo.

What’s the latest Bills betting form to face the Patriots?

When the Bills traded QB Tyrod Taylor to Cleveland, they didn’t think they were going to have such a mess at the quarterback position. After the injury of QB Josh Allen two weeks ago, Buffalo has tried several formulas but has failed on each one of them. QB Derek Anderson started last week in the 37-5 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. Anderson completed 20 of 31 passes for 175 yards and three interceptions against Indy. The 35-year old quarterback had played only one game since 2016. He looked old and rusty.

Anderson was named the Bills starter to play the Patriots on Monday. Head coach Sean McDermott doesn’t trust QB Nathan Peterman, and who can blame them? Peterman is a turnover waiting to happen whenever he’s under center. Buffalo has two choices two keep this game close. Stop Tom Brady and the Patriots offense -good luck with that- or match their scoring pace. Neither looks achievable for this poorly coached team. The Bills offense has scored 81 points this season that’s the league’s worst in 2018. To put context, the Ram tailback Todd Gurley has scored 88 points alone this year.

The struggle in Buffalo is real. Only eight of their 22 offensive drives have passed over midfield in the last two games. They average 11.3 points per game. It’s safe to say they have the worst scoring unit in the league and the worst passing offense. To make it a little more complicated Bills RB LeSean McCoy (concussion) and RB Chris Ivory (hamstring) are both questionable to play Monday Night. McCoy has been in the concussion protocol all week. He hasn’t been cleared for practice. The Bills are 7-3 playing at home in their last 10 games, but they haven’t beaten the Patriots in their previous five tries at New Era Field.

The play for the MNF game between Patriots and Bills?

It’s not easy to back up a team as a 14-point favorite, let alone on the road. What the oddsmakers are asking to bet on the Patriots are indeed bananas. But the overwhelming difference between these two teams is very easy to see. It’s not only about the Patriots offense ability to score points in bunches over the last four games. It’s not the clear dominance from QB Tom Brady over Buffalo. He has hunted the Bills fans for almost 20 years. It’s not only that but the ineptitude of Buffalo’s offense altogether.

To collect with the Bills, we are asking a washed backup QB Derek Anderson to go toe-to-toe with the greatest quarterback of all time. If not Anderson then the incompetent Nathan Peterman, who has no business being an NFL quarterback. A 14-point spread is too high for my taste, but I would feel like an idiot if a backup either Anderson or Peterman. I just can’t do it. Take the New England Patriots to destroy the Bills on Monday Night Football. The game will be over by halftime. Bet Patriots -14.

Alonzo Solano

Alonzo is a Sports Analyst who has covered College Football and NFL odds for SafestBettingSites but don’t be surprised if you read him on any other sport. He’s a gaming analyst looking for winners every weekend.

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