Peru Vs. Brazil: Copa America 2019 – Expert Picks And Betting Odds

copa america final 2019 - betting preview - odds analysis

Peru Vs. Brazil Copa America 2019 Betting Preview

Brazil is on top of group A despite not playing its best soccer so far. The Brazilians will get a chance to end up first in the zone when facing the always dangerous Peru, in the last fixture of the Copa America group stage. Right now, Brazil has four points. After two games, it is on top of the group due to goal differential, but it hasn’t shown the style and the quality they are capable of. Their roster is filled with talented players, yet, they have had problems creating scoring chances.

Peru Vs. Brazil Betting Odds

Peru VS Brazil
+764 (Draw +370) Moneyline -275 (Draw +370)
 +1.5 (-102) Spread -1.5 (-129)
Under 2.5 goals (-128) Game Total Over 2.5 goals (-103)

Brazil beat Bolivia 3-0 in the game that opened the Copa America. The result is a good one, but it’s not satisfying to the Brazilians fans. Bolivia is the worst team in South America, and it has been for a long time. Brazil’s first goal came via a penalty kick, and it took over 60 minutes to add to the scoreboard. The game wasn’t easy. Then, in the second game, the Brazilians drew scoreless against Venezuela in another disappointing result. Don’t get me wrong, Venezuela has improved a lot in the last ten years, but Brazil should win these games every time. Yet again, the strikers had problems creating scoring chances.

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Soccer Pick: Brazil -275
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Soccer Pick: Brazil -275
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After these two results, there is added pressure for Brazil. The team has a love-hate relationship with the fans. The squad hasn’t delivered the results over the last five years. Every time they fail to win like in the game against Venezuela, the criticism rains over the Brazilian national team. The people making the odds at MyBookie.ag listed Brazil -285 in the money line to win this game. The play has a 74% implied probability of collecting the winnings. It’s a good percentage considering is the host nation of this tournament and will play at home. Before the tournament started, Peru looked like the most challenging opponent Brazil would have in the group stage.

That hasn’t changed. It just happened that Bolivia and Venezuela were a little more complicated than expected, especially the Venezuelan. Peru also has four points after two games. They also drew scoreless against Venezuela and beat Bolivia 3-1 in the second game. The Peruvian team currently has the best generation of players they have had since the 1970s. They qualified to the Russia 2018 World Cup in fantastic fashion and had a good tournament. What makes them different from Bolivia or Venezuela, it is their roster. It has a combination of experienced players and very talented young playmakers.

At +764, a Peruvian win is an exciting bet, but it’s unlikely to happen. It has an 11% implied probability. If you are looking for an upset or another result that’s not Brazil’s win, then draw at +370 is more likely to materialize. The draw has a 21% probability of becoming the winner. The attacking struggles Brazil has shown in the first two games are not something you can fix in a couple of days. It takes practice and weeks. I do feel Brazil is going to win it, but it sure won’t be easy, so I’m taking them -275 at the money. Yet, because of the attacking flaws they have, they will win just by one score, which makes Peru +1.5 another good play.

Peru Vs. Brazil Copa America Match Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 22, 2019
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Arena Corinthians
  • TV: ESPN +

Copa America Betting At MyBookie Sportsbook

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Alonzo Solano

Alonzo is a Sports Analyst who has covered College Football and NFL odds for SafestBettingSites but don’t be surprised if you read him on any other sport. He’s a gaming analyst looking for winners every weekend.

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