Seattle Dragons Vs. St. Louis BattleHawks Betting Odds & Picks | XFL Week 4
Saturday’s night game for Week 4 in the XFL has the Dragons traveling to the former home of the NFL’s St. Louis Rams. Seattle will take on the visiting Battlehawks
Since it’s a dome, there will be no weather factors at play here.
What The Odds Say About The Dragons At Battlehawks Match
|Dragons (+12)||Vs.||BattleHawks (-12)|
|O 38.5 (-110)||Total||U 38.5 (-110)|
|Bet On Dragons Vs. BattleHawks XFL Week 4 Game At BetOnline|
The BattleHawks opened as 12-point favorites, and that has mostly remained the case spare a few 12.5’s at places like 5Dimes.
There is some juice on that 12 at some books as it appears to be trending toward 12.5 as the week progresses. The total sits at 38.5 with -115 on the over (at BetOnline), indicating a slight lean to the over.
Who’s On The Bench?
For the BattleHawks, only running back Matt Jones did not participate in Tuesday’s practice.
The Dragons had to place DB Steve Williams on injured reserve Monday. He had 16 tackles and 1.5 sacks through three games.
Also not participating for the Dragons was DT Anthony Moten, DE Durrant Miles, G William Campell, and WR Kasen Williams.
St. Louis Battlehawks Defense Vs. Seattle Dragons Offense
The BattleHawks defense has been outstanding this season. One could make a reasonable argument that they’ve been the best defense in the league.
They’ve held two opponents to 9 points and held the league-leading Roughneck offense to just 238 total yards in a 28-24 loss in week two.
While I do think they’re one of the best defenses in the league it’s important to note that they faced Dallas without starting QB Landry Jones in week one, and the Guardians, who appear to be one of the worst offenses in the league thus far.
Still, this unit looks to fit the style of football the BattleHawks want to play, which is strong defense and clock control by running the football.
The Dragons Defense: Not Looking Great
Seattle has faced a difficult schedule of opposing defenses in the Defenders, Vipers, and Renegades but has managed to put up much better numbers than I would have expected out of this offense.
QB Brandon Silvers is 5th in the league with 512 total yards but has done so on the 2nd most attempts (92) only to Phillip Walker (105). His 5.6 yards per attempt ranks 2nd to last only to Matt McGloin amongst starters.
The Dragons have been much better on the ground, compiling 104.3 yards per game this season. Still, injuries and mediocre play along the offensive line have limited the upside for the Dragons offense.
St. Louis has shown us what they can do against weaker offenses and the leagues’ best in their first three weeks. Unfortunately, this doesn’t look good for Seattle.
Strong edge to the BattleHawks.
Seattle Dragons Offense Vs. St Louis BattleHawks
The Dragons struggled to stop a Renegades offense that racked up 374 yards last week. A couple drives they would have stopped early in the game were extended due to penalty.
Seattle is definitely better than the true bottom-tier defenses, but they’re not even close to the elite defenses in the league.
The Defensive Line Has Been Outstanding
They do well-generating pressure. That said, this Dragons defense has proven to be reasonably stingy against the run.
They’re giving up only 104 yards per game, but they haven’t faced a rushing attack quite as good as that of the BattleHawks.
In some ways, the BattleHawks offense resembles that of the NFL’s Baltimore Ravens with a lot of simple read-option, and designed quarterback runs.
It makes sense given QB Jordan Ta’amu skill set, and it’s been effective thus far, as he is tied for 5th in the league in rushing yards.
Let’s Talk Rushing Yards
Atop that rushing yardage list is BattleHawks RB Matt Jones, at 224 yards on 52 attempts. Not far behind Ta’amu is former Seahawk Christine Michael, at 82 yards on 35 attempts.
This team wants to pound the rock, and they’re exceedingly good at it with a league-leading 157.7 rushing yards per game.
The run has set up the pass as well, allowing Ta’amu to post a 75.6% completion percentage (1st for QB’s with over 50 attempts) and 7.5 yards per attempt (2nd) for a 102.3 passer rating (3rd).
Edge to the BattleHawks.
Our Dragons Vs. BattleHawks Prediction & Betting Picks
First is the combination of low total and high spread. When the total is low like the 39 (38.5 at most books) for this game, and we’re catching 12.5 points, it offers us a good opportunity as sports bettors. With the underdog there is a lot more value in those 12.5 points than there would be if the total was something higher like 50.
With a total of 38.5, it implies a 25.5 to 13 point victory for the BattleHawks. There is a small margin of error for the favorites. All it takes is a late backdoor cover or a couple of missed conversions.
Mind The Dragons Defense
Second, the Dragons’ run defense should be better than anything the BattleHawks have faced so far this season. There is also a chance league-leading rusher Matt Jones doesn’t play or isn’t 100% as he’s on the injury report (monitor this situation).
Christine Michael is more than talented enough to pick up some of the workload, but it can’t be a good thing for such a high volume rush offense to lose its leader.
The Dragons Deal An Aggressive Offense, Too
It hasn’t always worked out for them, but the Dragons don’t just roll over in games. They’ll take deep shots down the field, and the few times that Silvers has had time in the pocket, he’s had a few outstanding passes.
My last point is more narrative-driven: the BattleHawks want to control the clock by running the ball and play strong defense; “Old school football,” so to speak. They don’t care how they win, just that they win.
I expect the BattleHawks to try to take the air out of the ball and keep this game short and low scoring, which favors both the under and the 12.5 we’re catching with the Dragons.
Bet On Dragons At BattleHawks XFL Game At Betonline
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