Spurs Vs. Nuggets Picks | NBA Playoffs Betting Odds Game 5
San Antonio Spurs Vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs ruined the opportunity to be 3-1 up in the first round series against the Nuggets. Now, they need to go to Denver and steal another game on the road in one of the hardest venues in the NBA. After doing the damage in Game 1, the San Antonio Spurs only had to win their games at home, and the series would have been theirs. Now we are back we started, with the series even but with only three games to be played.
I have seen this series particularly even, but the people making the odds at MyBookie.ag sees the Nuggets with a higher ceiling. If we take a look at the money line for Game 5, Denver has a 71% of implied probability to win this game and be up for the first time in the series. I get the Nuggets were the best home team in the NBA this season, but San Antonio not only stole Game 1, but had a 19-point lead in Game 2, also played at the Pepsi Center. The Spurs had plenty of chances to be in command of this series. They have just missed those opportunities.
San Antonio is +195 to win Game 5, according to MyBookie.ag. That’s an implied probability of 34% of winning the crucial Game 5 matchup. Denver moved Torrey Craig to the starting lineup for the struggling Will Barton in Game 4, and now it’s time for the Spurs to adjust. The advantage San Antonio has in this situation is there is no one better at adjusting in the playoffs than coach Gregg Popovich. Pop said his team lacked energy and competitiveness in the loss during Saturday’s game. That doesn’t happen to a Popovich team on consecutive games. I will be expecting a Spurs team ready for a fight.
The series price for the Spurs and the Nuggets is the closest of the series available right now. San Antonio can be found at +165 right now to win and advance. Meanwhile, Denver is the favorite at -195. With two of the last three games to be played at the Pepsi Center, it doesn’t come as a shocker. MyBookie has also NBA odds available to predict when the series is coming to an end. You can bet to end in six games at -110 with an implied probability of 53% or in seven games at -125 with a 56% chance of happening.
There is also a lot of value on betting the exact series result. The most significant probability is to see the Nuggets winning in seven at +170 with a 38% chance. The most unlikely scenario is the Spurs winning in seven with an 18% implied probability at +450. The good thing is we have a lot of options to bet on the NBA with this series, which has been the closest one of the entire first round. If we are talking only about Game 5, I’m grabbing the points. I fully expect adjustment from Gregg Popovich coming off a loss. What’s the play? Spurs +5.5.
Spread: Nuggets -5.5
Money line: San Antonio +195 vs. Denver -245
Game total: 211.5
Date: Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
TV: NBA TV
Series: Tied 2-2
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