Super Bowl Prediction 2019 – Patriots vs. Rams Picks
The Super Bowl is finally here and our SBS’ crew has written detailed prediction who will win the Big Game. Super Bowl 53 will pit the Rams against the Patriots at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. There have been a lot of storylines about the Big Game coming into the weekend we read in ESPN’s predictions, but that’s not the focus of this article – we’re analyzing the betting odds.
New England Vs. Los Angeles Odds – The Point Spread
The game opened briefly at pk, but the odds quickly moved in the Patriots favor and have so ever since. New England is -2.5 at just about every sportsbook online. This comes with varying juice. MyBookie.ag, one our top-rated online betting sites, has them at -2.5 (-120) and the Rams at +2.5 (+100).
New England Vs. Los Angeles Odds – The Total
Most sportsbooks opened with the total at 58.5 points. This has come down 56.5 at most betting sites of this writing. However, there are a few sportsbooks that are dealing off-market odds. Some still have the total at 57.5 and 58 points.
New England Vs. Los Angeles Odds – The Moneyline
The market opened with the Patriots at -125 and the Rams +105. As the spread moved in New England’s favor, so did the moneyline. At this point, the Patriots are around -140 at most betting sites to win outright. The Rams are sitting around +115 and +120.
SBS’ Super Bowl 2019 Prediction
There is no doubting the Rams are talented and have an excellent coach in McVay, but it’s still hard to see them pulling this one off. From a matchup perspective, it appears they have the ability to move the ball on the Patriots, due to their strong running game and the significant issues that New England has stopping pass-catching backs.
However, I am still of the opinion that Goff is more a system QB than a genuinely talented passer. The Patriots’ defense isn’t anything special, but they do have some decent cornerbacks, and their focus will likely be on stopping Gurley and testing Goff downfield. I do not think this is a test that Goff will pass.
The Rams offense is potent, but the loss of Cooper Kupp has hurt their offense. Since he got injured, the offense has not had the same level of potency. I do not have enough faith in Goff in this game, and I think Belichick will gameplan around forcing him to win this game and trying to stop the run and short passing attack.
Tom Brady’s arm strength is not what it used to be, but that isn’t something needed in the New England offense. The matchup is also excellent. The Rams have a lot of big names on defense, but they have not played up to their potential. The short to the intermediate passing game is also where they struggle the most, which is right in New England’s wheelhouse.
I think New England -2.5 is an excellent bet. If the odds did move to +3 or +3.5, then the Rams would be a little more interesting. However, I do think the Patriots win this game and perhaps by a decent margin. As far as the total, I think it is a decent play at 56.5, but many sportsbooks, including MyBookie.ag have the number at 58 points. The under is easily the best bet of Super Bowl 53 if you can manage to get that number.