Thursday Night Football Week 11 NFL Picks – Packers Vs. Seahawks Prediction
When the Green Bay Packers (4-4-1 0-4 Away) and the Seattle Seahawks (4-5, 1-2 Home) clash on Thursday Night Football their season might be on the line. As dramatic as it sounds when the NFL week 11 stars, both will be striving to stay in the mix for a wildcard playoffs spot inside the NFC. A loss to a direct rival would be a hard hit to swallow for their postseason aspirations.
The Seahawks are a 2.5-point favorite for this game according to MyBookie.ag. The betting line opened with the home team as a 3-point favorite before dropping half a point. 62% of the betting public is taking Seattle to win and cover the spread. The game total is at 49.5 points. For a while, it was at 49 points. Odds below are from Mybookie.ag. Deposit today for a 100% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000 on your first deposit.
Green Bay Packers Vs. Seattle Seahawks Prediction
Spread: Seahawks -2.5
Money line: Green Bay (+125) vs. Seattle (-145)
Game Total: 49.5
Date: Thursday, November 15, 2018
Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA
TV: FOX / NFL Network
What’s the latest Packers betting form to face the Seahawks?
The Green Bay Packers gained back some momentum by easily beating the Miami Dolphins 31-12 last Sunday. It was their first victory after dropping two crushing losses to the Los Angeles Rams and the New England Patriots on consecutive weeks. The win over the Dolphins saw the Packers cover the spread as 12.5-point favorites at home. It was also the third straight time where the under cashed for bettors in a Green Bay game. The win and cover by the Packers over Miami was the third time in five home games they were money for their backers. They are one of the five undefeated teams this season when playing at home.
The issue for the Packers is as good as they are at Lambeau Field, they are winless on the road. Only the Browns, the Raiders, the Giants, the Niners, and the Packers haven’t recorded an away win this season. That’s not a great company to be in. After playing against Seattle, the Packers will visit the Vikings. The next two weeks are the ultimate test for a team looking for their identity. Green Bay has the 6th best passing offense in the NFL and the 14th best rushing attack. With Aaron Rodgers under center the teams have always been passing driven, but they might select a little more of a balanced offense in the next few weeks.
Last week Aaron Jones had the best game of his career by posting 145 yards on the ground and two scores. He only touched the ball 15 times, averaging an absurd 9.7 yards per carry against the Dolphins. When Jones gets enough touches, everything opens up for Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the offense. The Packers will go to Seattle without Randall Cobb, who still is dealing with a hamstring injury. Cobb missed the game against Miami.
An underrated part of the Packers is their defense. Green Bay has the 11th best total defense in the NFL. Their front seven leads the league with 31 sacks entering week 11. That’s a great stat, but it’s never mentioned. The problem is the Packers defense allows 24.0 points per game (15th), which is high for a unit that doesn’t allow as many yards. Plus, they have only 11 takeaways this season. We can’t say they make big game-changing plays.
What’s the latest Seahawks betting form to face the Packers?
The Seahawks are coming to this meeting with two straight losses to the Los Angeles Chargers and the Los Angeles Rams. Both times Seattle fought until the end, but it came up short. The team is growing but when seeing those losses you can tell the lack of playmakers is the reason they are falling short in the end. Seattle covered the spread against the Rams as a 9.5-point dog on the road. It was the second time they failed to beat LA, but if you took the points with the Seahawks, you made some money both times. The Seahawks have covered the spread in four of their last five outings.
After hosting the Packers, the Seahawks will visit Carolina next week. With one game under .500, their season might be on the line in the next couple of weeks. Unlike Green Bay, the Seahawks are a one-dimensional offense driven by their running game. Seattle averages 152.2 rushing yards per game between their set of tailbacks and the scrambles of quarterback Russell Wilson. That’s the best rushing yards per game average in the NFL.
Last week they ran for 273 yards as a team effort in the 36-31 loss to the Rams. The Seahawks were pretty much unstoppable, but Los Angeles always had an answer on the other side because their offense is just too good. The Packers doesn’t have that type of attack to punch back anytime they want to. Seattle’s defense is one step below the Packers, listed as 12th best total entering the NFL week 11. They give up 21.3 points per game, but that average is inflated by facing good offenses like the Bears, the Chargers and the Rams, twice. The Seahawks defense is 7th best in the NFL in takeaways. I get that Aaron Rodgers doesn’t make many mistakes, but a loud environment on TNFand a defense ready to jump in might be enough to win this game for Seattle.
The play For the TNF Game between Packers Vs. Seahawks?
It’s hard for me to think the Packers will go the length of the season without winning on the road. But it’s also hard to believe their first road win will come at one of the most hostile places in the NFL. The Packers have won at CenturyLink Field just once in the last five visits. Yes, the Legion of Boom and the rest of the scary Seahawks defense are no longer waiting for them.
However, the Packers are no longer as talented as they used to, either. A short week, home field advantage and a relatively manageable spread only makes me think the Seahawks will win this game by three or four points. Their running game drives defenses insane. The Packers haven’t shown me anything impressive all season to think they will go into Seattle and steal a win on the road. Bet Seahawks -2.5.