Thursday Night Football Week 4 NFL Picks – Vikings Vs. Rams Prediction
The NFL scheduling screwed this one up. Two of the best teams in the NFL shouldn’t be set to play on a short week. It’s bad for business, but here we are. The Minnesota Vikings (1-1-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) will try to bounce back after their embarrassing week three loss, when they face the undefeated Los Angeles Rams (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS), on Thursday Night Football. The oddsmakers at Sportsbetting.ag opened with the Rams as 7-point favorites, but the sharps jump quickly on the side of the points, and the betting line is currently at 6.5-points.
Make no mistake about it; the public is riding the Los Angeles bandwagon. The game total opened at 47 points and is now at 49.5 points. I won’t be surprised if their still movement when game time arrives. This might reach the 50 points by Thursday, so if you are going for the OVER the time is now. Odds below are from SportsBetting.ag. Deposit today for a 50% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000 on your first deposit.
Minnesota Vikings Vs. Los Angeles Rams Predictions
- Spread: Rams -6.5
- Money line: Minnesota (+225) vs. Los Angeles (-265)
- Game Total: 49.5
- Date: Thursday, September 27th, 2018
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
- TV: FOX / NFL Network
What’s the latest Vikings betting form to face the Rams?
The Vikings were embarrassed on Sunday. There is no other way to put it. They cost over half of the NFL nation their survivors pools last weekend. Their 27-6 home loss to the Buffalo Bills was a fluke. It has to be a fluke, right? A team with Super Bowl aspirations can’t be this bad against one of the worst teams in the league. My guess is the Vikings were eyeing on the Rams a week too early and didn’t put enough attention to the Bills. I have no other theory than that.
Minnesota has failed to impress in the last two weeks of the season. Their tie against the Packers in Green Bay during week 2 looks a lot less valuable. Watching Aaron Rodgers and company stink up the joint in Washington didn’t help. The Vikings have been an excellent straight-up team dating last season, winning 13 of their last 17 games, but they have been an awful bet lately. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games, including ATS losses to the Packers and Bills.
Their offense is one-dimension, and that’s a problem. The coaches are trying to make their money’s worth by letting QB Kirk Cousins throw the ball as many times as possible. The Vikings offense is 4th best in passing yards, but 2nd worse running the football. Such an unbalanced offense becomes predictable and an easy target for defenses. There is no word on whether RB Dalvin Cook will be available for Thursday Night. Cook missed the game against Buffalo due to a hamstring injury. Several reports out of Minnesota’s beat writers suggest coach Mike Zimmer wanted to give Cook a few extra days to rest. He’s aiming a much-needed return against the Rams.
If the Vikings can somehow establish their running game, everything will open up for Cousins. The Rams will miss both of their star cornerbacks in Aqib Talib (ankle) and Marcus Peters (calf) due to injuries. This is now a focal point of attack for Cousins and the rest of the offense. In recent games, the Vikings haven’t been much of the underdog. But they are good when they have odds stacked against them. Minnesota is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog and 23-9 ATS in their previous 32 games following a straight up loss. Not to mention, they are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.
What’s the latest Rams betting form to face the Vikings?
Yes, is only September, but the Rams look like clear-cut favorites to represent the NFC in Super Bowl LIII. Putting aside any -more- potential injuries, what Los Angeles has is a roster full of A-list playmakers. This is the cool team in the league right now. A handsome coach, the LA swag and their unbeaten run make them hard not to like. How good are the Rams? They are one of the three teams in the NFL with a current 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS record. Their point differential is an absurd +66 after just three weeks. And, they have won each of their first three games by double-digits for the first time since 1999. Oh yeah, they won the Super Bowl that season.
I know we are in love with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offense, but the Rams are the most complete team in the NFL. They are averaging 34.0 points per game (3rd best) while allowing a league’s best 12.0 PPG. Sure, they have played teams like the Oakland Raiders, and the Arizona Cardinals, which have a combined of zero wins this season. But they also proved by beating the Chargers 35-23 last weekend that they have answers for everything. They covered the spread as 6.5-point favorites. What I don’t like about the Rams is they are not great during a short week. LA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. And having to adjust to the loss of their two primary cornerbacks is a big deal too.
The play For the TNF Game between Vikings Vs. Rams?
I can’t see the Vikings defense having another weak performance like the one they showed on Sunday. I mean they were humiliated by a rookie quarterback. They made Bills QB Josh Allen look like Steve Young out there. The issue is Minnesota’s defense will have to go against one of the best offenses in the NFL. That’s a different challenge altogether. The Rams have too many weapons and a creative play-calling chart to move the ball around.
Vikings QB Kirk Cousins will also find a few holes in the Rams defense. No Talib and no Peters equal lack of communication in the Rams secondary. I’m taking the OVER 49.5 as both teams have enough weapons to give us fireworks on every series. It doesn’t hurt to know the total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 8 games when playing on the road against the Rams.