Tennessee Titans Vs. New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Betting Picks And Odds
The New England Patriots will play a playoffs’ wildcard round contest for the first time since 2009.
The Patriots host the red-hot Tennessee Titans in a late Saturday Night matchup in the AFC. Let’s break it down.
What The NFL Odds Say About The Titans Vs. Patriots NFL Matchup
|+5 (-110)||Spread||-5 (-110)|
|O 44 (-110)||Total||U 44 (-110)|
|Bet On The Titans vs. Patriots NFL Playoffs Game At MyBookie.ag|
It’s been a rocky week for the odds between the Titans and the Patriots. The New England Patriots opened -5.5 at home, but the betting line went down one point in the following days.
Now it has climbed to -5. 53% of the public is taking the Titans with the points on the road.
The Tennessee Titans’ Edge Vs. The Patriots
Since the Titans made the QB change from Marcus Mariota to Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee has won seven of the next ten games. Two of those losses were against the Texans and Saints, two teams that are currently in the NFL playoffs.
Tannehill is arguably playing the best football of his career. He has thrown 22 touchdowns and just six interceptions this season. Those numbers are better than Bills’ QB Josh Allen with six fewer games played.
He has made the Titans a scoring machine in the red zone. Tennessee has scored touchdowns in 86.7% of their red-zone trips since Tannehill took over. That’s by far the NFL’s best number during the last ten weeks.
His two key players are RB Derrick Henry and rookie WR AJ Brown. Henry earned the rushing title in 2019 by posting 1540 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns this season.
His last performance against Houston saw him record 211 rushing yards and a hat-trick of scores. He even missed one game this year, and it didn’t affect his totals.
WR AJ Brown is set to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. It’s between him and Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray.
Brown exploded during the second half of the season, and every week has proven to be unguardable. Brown recorded 1051 receiving yards in only 52 receptions in 2019. He was also responsible for eight touchdowns.
He’s too big and fast to handle.
The New England Patriots’ Edge Vs. The Titans
The Patriots lost three of their five games in December and two of them at home. Their last week’s defeat against the Dolphins changed the entire landscape of the AFC. It also prevented New England from getting a playoffs bye.
The @Patriots enter the playoffs as the AFC #3 seed— NFL Research (@NFLResearch) 31 de diciembre de 2019
1st Wild Card Round game since 2009 (L, 33-14 vs BAL)
Patriots in Postseason – Since 2001
Round W-L Win%
Wild Card 2-1 .667
Divisional 13-2 .867
Champ 9-4 .692
Super Bowl 6-3 .667
Just that factor alone is a sign that the Patriots are not playing their best football at this time of the year. They might be favorites against the Titans, but the eye test of the two teams suggests otherwise.
The experience should never be a definitive factor, but there is a massive advantage for the Patriots in that department. Tom Brady alone has more playoffs victories (30) than the rest of the quarterbacks in this years’ playoffs combined (26).
I can see New England trying to run the football early and often this year. They became and running team in their Super Bowl 53 run last season, and I expect them to go that route again this year.
A Productive And Balanced Offense
Even in the loss against the Dolphins, New England was able to set the run by posting 135 rushing yards while averaging 5.0 yards per carry. In the last weeks, the team has averaged 151.0 rushing yards per game.
By establishing the run, the offense gets both productive and balanced. It also frees time for Tom Brady. He hasn’t had his best season, but the game against Buffalo two weeks ago was a glimpse that he still has some gas in the tank. If teams underestimate him, then he still has a few throws to make them pay.
Keep an eye on WR Julian Edelman. He has been a shell of himself over the last month. He has been dealing with both a knee and shoulder injury.
Tennessee Titans At New England Patriots NFL Wildcard Prediction
If you put these two teams on tape, without a logo on their helmets, you will tell without hesitation than the Titans are the best team of the two. Yet, NFL playoffs experience has some weight, and that’s why you are probably doubting putting money on the Titans.
Winning at Gillette Stadium during January, it’s almost impossible. However, their invincibility was usually attached to great teams, with solid playmakers and a clutch Tom Brady. New England hasn’t shown they had any of those three factors in 2019.
The Titans’ defense is rolling. I’m sure the Patriots will try to limit Derrick Henry, and they might have some success, but I have no idea how they are going to stop Ryan Tannehill, especially when he looks for AJ Brown.
New England’s Success On Defense
New England’s success on defense was mostly because CB Stephon Gilmore was able to handle top receivers one on one. Last week the Dolphins WR Devante Parker put on a show with Gilmore guarding him.
Parker is a big wideout and very hard to stop, but he’s no AJ Brown. The rookie has a body type like Julio Jones and speed that is unmatchable in the open field. If the Patriots put Gilmore on AJ, I have my money on the rookie.
Tennessee has the best red offense in the NFL, while New England has one of the worst. Take the points — bet Titans +5.
Titans Vs. Patriots Game Information
- Date: Saturday, January 4, 2020
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
- TV: CBS
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