Thursday Night Football Week 11 Picks – Titans vs Steelers Prediction
The Titans head into Pittsburgh where every game matters as they fight for their division, but one that they are currently leading after defeating the Jaguars in Week 2. With both teams tied with a 6-3 record – they own the tiebreaker, but there is not much room for error. On the flip side, Pittsburgh has run away with their division at 7-2. The Ravens are the closest regarding record, but they already have five losses.
Tennessee Titans +7 (-125) at Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (+105) Total: 44
The Titans narrowly escaped with a victory over the visiting Bengals last week. They won the game 24-20 but failed to cover the -4.5-point spread. The win pushed the Tennessee’s streak to four-straight. The Titans have been relatively lucky with injuries this year, aside from Marcus Mariota, who was out a few games earlier in the year with a hamstring injury. Mariota and Walker were both on the injury report earlier in the week, but have been removed.
The Steelers had a bit of trouble on the road against Indianapolis last week. They were heavy -10.5 favorites at most shops but settled for a field goal in the final seconds to break a 17-17 tie to win 20-17. They also have won four-straight games to improve to reach seven wins. Pittsburgh is mostly healthy on offense but will be without standout cornerback, Joe Haden, in tonight’s game. Starting safety, Mike Mitchell is also questionable.
The Steelers opened at -6.5, but that number was not available for long. Most sportsbooks have the odds at seven still, but with much vigorish on the Titans side. Ticket wise, bettors have favored the Steelers, but by narrow margins. The total has gone up from a 43.5 opener to 44. Nearly 70 percent of bets are coming on the over.
Titans vs Steelers Prediction
Pittsburgh’s defense has gotten a lot of praise this season for being a dominant unit, especially against the pass, but they haven’t faced many top offenses. The only group that would fit that category would be the Chiefs. Which, to be fair, is a team they beat at Arrowhead 19-13, back on October 1.
However, the Titans offense will be a much more significant test for them. They have talent all over the field and the loss of Haden and possibly Mitchell, is going to hurt. Haden has been fantastic and by far the Steelers’ best cover guy. It’s unclear how much he will damage the effectiveness of the unit, overall.
The Titans getting a touchdown in this spot is a bet I like. The Steelers schedule and offenses they have faced so far have me feeling that their defense is a bit overrated. We’ve also seen plenty of inconsistent play from their offense, even in cupcake matchups, like last week.