UFC 229 Undercard Fights Betting Odds & Predictions
With all the hype surrounding the return of Conor McGregor to the octagon, fans have pushed aside the other fights in the UFC 229 night. Don’t get me wrong I understand that the return of “The Notorious” is a big deal, but there is plenty of value in the rest of the card. McGregor is such a polarizing figure in the MMA world, he has made the Champion Khabib Nurmagomedov pretty much irrelevant in the eyes of the UFC casual fan.
It shouldn’t be a surprise either. The Irish did just that to Floyd Mayweather Jr. when he stepped into a boxing ring. If he can do it to Floyd, he can do it to anybody. Don’t miss on 50% up to $1000 sign up bonus at Sportsbetting.ag you can use for these undercard UFC fights. Here are the UFC 229 undercard betting picks:
Anthony Pettis (21-7-0) vs. Tony Ferguson (25-3-0) Prediction
- UFC 229 Money Line: Pettis (+290) vs Ferguson (-355)
- Total Rounds: 2.5
Tony Ferguson facing Anthony Pettis is not as flashy as McGregor against Nurmagomedov, but it has all the elements to be a great fight. Ferguson opened as a -310 money line favorite at Sportbetting.ag when the matchup was announced. There has been a little movement in the line, but not quite enough to run away if you like the favorite. “El Cucuy” Ferguson has been one of the most dominant forces in the UFC over the past few years. He enters this fight riding a 10-fight winning streak. Edson Barboza, then Lightweight champion Rafael Dos Anjos and former Strikeforce Lightweight champion Josh Thomson were a few of the names who suffered during this run.
Ferguson is coming off a severe knee injury. For many, that’s the type of injury that ends careers. But now he has been training at a normal pace, and his camp is not willing to blame a potential loss on the injury. Anthony Pettis has a good value of +290 at this point, but he’s a true gamble. He has mixed results during his UFC career, and his consistency is a huge problem.
“Showtime” Pettis has lost five of the last eight outings. Although his submission win against Michael Chiesa during the second round of UFC 226 has been his best performances in years. These two fighters are technicians, and their fights rarely go the distance. Over the past 10 contests, Ferguson won just three by decision while Pettis did it four times. Despite the injury, Ferguson still is the best fighter on my mind. Take him to win this one in the third round.
What’s the play? Tony Ferguson -355 & over 2.5 rounds…
Ovince Saint Preux (22-11-0) vs. Dominick Reyes (9-0-0) Prediction
- UFC 229 Money Line: Saint Preux +195 vs. Reyes -230
- Total Rounds: 1.5
There is a 7-year difference between the veteran Ovince Saint Preux and the upper comer Dominick Reyes. St Preux looks to prove he still is relevant in the UFC circles while Reyes is the young hot-stuff looking for validation with every outing. The fight opened with Reyes as a -190 betting favorite at Sportsbetting.ag. Now is at -230 and the line might still move by the time the fight starts. There is value on betting St Preux at +195. He has the skills and is the most experienced fighter of the two. 11 of his 22 wins have come via submission. He is a versatile fighter looking to school the new kid on the block.
Dominick Reyes is precisely that: the new kid. He enters this contest with a 9-0-0 record, but beyond his undefeated status, the last three fights are the ones who help him made a name for himself. A KO/TKO win over Jared Cannonier at UFC Fight Night in May was perhaps his most impressive one. Reyes’ three UFC showings were Round 1 victories. Betting Reyes is not an easy task because his resume is not long. Just once during his nine fights it was decided on a decision. Both fighters are dangerous and might end the night early. With that said, this fight is a coin toss in my book. I’m leaning toward the veteran because it was more value if his experience is imposed.
What’s the play? Ovince Saint Preux +195…
Derrick Lewis (20-5-0) vs. Alexander Volkov Prediction
- UFC 229 Money Line: Lewis +158 vs Volkov -183
- Total Rounds: 2.5
Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis is not the most versatile fighter, but his fights are fun to watch. He’s mostly power, and sometimes that’s too much to handle for opponents. 85% of Lewis’ wins have come via KO/TKO. He enters this match with an impressive eight wins out of the last nine. Yet, he’s the underdog for the fight. The reason is Alexander Volkov is more of a technician fighter with a more significant repertoire than Lewis. The Russian opened at a -185 money line favorite at Sportbetting.ag and there has been almost none movement in the betting line.
Volkov is a solid kickboxer with a considerable range. He can keep Lewis away with his kicks and then finish him if the Black Beast gets a little too comfortable. 20 of Volkov’s wins came via knockout, but his most impressive asset is his willingness to execute the game plane to the perfection. I can’t say the same about Lewis. The Russian’s last outing was a remarkable fourth-round KO win against Fabricio Werdum. It was the perfect example of power and athleticism in one performance. A Heavyweight matchup can end with one swing, but the most complete fighter of the two is Alexander Volkov and is not even close. Let’s back Volkov at -183 at Sportbetting.ag. He should be a bigger favorite considering the skillsets of both of these fighters.
What’s the play? Alexander Volkov -183…