UFC 232: Jon Jones Vs. Alexander Gustafsson Betting Odds & Picks

UFC 232 main card

The last UFC showdown of the year it’s almost here. The UFC 232 on December 29th will have the long-awaited return of Jon Jones. Alexander Gustafsson said the “Jones era is over” and he’s about to show it. Cris Cyborg and Amanda Nunes will go down in the best pound-for-pound clash of the night. And as an entrée, Carlos Condit and Michael Chiesa will battle in a welterweight division matchup. The UFC 232 will be this Saturday at the Forum, in Inglewood, California. Let’s take a deep dive looking for winners.

Jon Jones Vs. Alexander Gustafsson Fight Odds

The betting line opened with Jones as -295. Now 52% of the betting public is taking Alexander Gustafsson to win. It’s a close one but Jones inability to fight on a regular basis is a concern. It’s been a while since we saw Jon Jones inside the octagon. Arguably the best fighter in the history of the UFC will get back in action in a high-profile matchup against Alexander Gustafsson. The fight is valid for the vacant 205-pound title in UFC 232 main event.

  • Money line: Jones -265 Vs. Gustafsson +205
  • Total Rounds: 4.5

The last time Jones took the octagon to beat Daniel Cormier in July 2017 we were all hoping he finally had his act together. Days later he was suspended for doping for the third time. Jon “Bones” Jones is the favorite at MyBookie.ag to win this match at -265. For many Jon Jones’ prime went out of the drain due to his constant suspensions. He became the youngest Champion in UFC history at the age of 23. What comes next now at the age of 31 is not the best of him. The problem for Gustafsson is even if Jones is not at his absolute best, he’s still a gifted fighter with flawless technique and certainly not an easy fight for anyone.

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UFC 232 Pick: Jones -265
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UFC 232 Pick: Jones -265
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“Bones” Jones enters this event with a streak of 14 unbeaten fights in the UFC. It is the second longest in the history, just behind Anderson Silva’s 16. The question is on whether Jones remains the same fighter. He has been out for 17 months, and that’s the longest suspension of his career. When Alexander Gustafsson challenged Jon Jones in 2013 during UFC 165, he faced Jones’ best. The Swedish took the fight to five rounds and lost in a unanimous decision. Fast forward to this point and Alexander is 3-2 in his last five outings. Granted both of his losses were against high profile names like Daniel Cormier and Anthony Johnson.

Here’s where it gets tricky for Gustafsson. Jon Jones is a combination of both Cormier and Johnson. He can win by submission at any point or end the night quickly with a strike like Johnson. That’s why  Jones is considered arguably the best fighter of his generation. He just has too many tools on his arsenal. There is some sort of value for Gustafsson at +205, but talent wise Jones should take this one. Many UFC fans out there want to see a Jones defeat. He’s hated because he wasted so much of his abilities with dumb decisions. But this won’t be the night.

Cris Cyborg Vs. Amanda Nunes Odds

The co-main event for UFC 232 is a juicy one as Cris Cyborg, and Amanda Nunes step into the octagon ready to destroy one and other. The Women’s Featherweight title will be at stakes as Cyborg looks for her third successful defense. The oddsmakers at MyBookie.ag have the Brazilian Cyborg as the favorite listed at -250 at the money line. The Brazilian Nunes looks for an upset at +200. 59% of the betting public is taking Nunes with the underdog value. The round total is at 2.5.

  • Money line: Cyborg -250 Vs. Nunes +200
  • Total Rounds: 2.5

Cris Cyborg has been the Women Featherweight title holder for over 500 days. She defeated Holly Holm and Yana Kunitskaya in his previous two defenses. But the truth is Nunes represents her most significant challenge to date. Amanda is also a Bantamweight champion.

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UFC 232 Pick: Nunes +200
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UFC 232 Pick: Nunes +200
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This will be the first champion versus champion fight in the history of women’s divisions in UFC. Nunes doesn’t back out of a dogfight, and we are about to witness one in the UFC 232 co-main event. She’s physical and applies lots of pressure to any opponent. Her only issue has been the cardio factor. Can she go the distance to make the judges sweat to pull a decision in favor of the underdog? I think she might be in the best shape of her career.

Cyborg is used to dictating terms on any of her fights. She usually doesn’t get an opponent who can respond back, and that will be the difference maker in this outing. Amanda Nunes is an uncomfortable fighter to go against. She’s very talented, of course, but she’s resilience, and that infuriates fighters like Cris Cyborg who is used to seeing the fights go her way. I find a lot of value on Amanda Nunes at +200. Cyborg’s UFC women’s regime will come to an end at some point, and this might be it.

Carlos Condit Vs. Michael Chiesa Betting Odds

Michael Chiesa will test the 170 pounds at the UFC 232 after spending most of his career at the lightweight. The former interim champ Carlos Condit will be waiting at the other side. Chiesa jumps as the favorite to win this fight listed at -165 at MyBookie.ag. He opened at -150 but his odds have moved up a little. 61% of the betting public is taking the dog Condit at +135. The round total is at 2.5.

  • Money line: Condit +135 Vs. Chiesa -165
  • Total Rounds: 2.5

Two submission losses by Michael Chiesa against Kevin Lee and Anthony Pettis has become the biggest losing streak of his career. Grappling is his strength, but he was overpowered by those two opponents. Many have said there was no urgency by Chiesa during those fights. That’s something he needs to gain back for Saturday Night.

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UFC 232 Pick: Condit +135
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UFC 232 Pick: Condit +135
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Condit is the worst slump of his career with five losses in his last six fights. A submission loss to Alex Oliveira in April is all he has done in 2018. His previous win was against Thiago Alves back in 2015. It’s been a while.
The one thing makes Condit different from Chiesa is he can go toe-to-toe against anybody in any type of match. He’s a better all-around fighter, and he’s in his weight class, unlike Michael. I like Carlos Condit chances to end his losing streak with a solid strike.

Gustavo Santiago

Gustavo Santiago - MMA Analyst & Writer

Gustavo is a dedicated mixed martial artist, UFC die-hard fan, and bettor. He’s responsible for our MMA fight breakdowns and UFC picks here at SBS while he’s taking a break from his Muay Thai, Boxing, Wrestling or Bjj training. He is the SBS’ king of Mixed Martial Arts.

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