UFC 239: Jon Jones Vs. Thiago Santos – Free Betting Picks And Odds

Jon Jones vs. Thiago Santos – UFC 239 Betting Preview

Jones vs. Santos Face off This Saturday on July 6, we’ll have the opportunity to see one of the most impressive cards the UFC has ever held. UFC 239 takes place this Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. There are two significant title fights being held at the event. Jon Jones vs. Thiago Santos as the main event in the light heavyweight division.

Amanda Nunes vs. Holly Holm, as the co-main event. Nunes will be defending her belt as the champion in the women’s Bantamweight division. If that’s not enough action already, Jorge Masvidal is facing Ben Askren.

The stakes are high for both fighters. Masvidal comes off a solid KO win against Darren Till and a win in this fight could get him a title shot. Of course, if he’s able to stop Askren’s “funky” wrestling style.

And for Ben Askren is an opportunity to clear up any doubts among fans about his abilities after his last controversial win against Robbie Lawler.

This is not only a beautiful night for the sport but another opportunity to increase your bankroll. So without further ado let’s see where’s the value to take home some earnings betting UFC 239 main event and co-main event.

Who Will Be The Winner In Jones vs. Santos?

I must admit that I may be biased here, as I’m a big Jon “Bones” Jones fan. But emotions aside, let’s focus on MMA betting. We all know he is one of the most successful and, at the same time, most controversial fighters of our time. From the moment he stepped into the octagon – we knew a great fighter arrived at the UFC.

He would become the youngest champion in UFC history. Steroids and drugs aside, he’s still a freak of nature. His fighter IQ is off the charts and he’s dominant in all aspects of the game.

During his career, we’ve seen him fight 26 times and has won 24 of them. He’s versatile, he has KO power and can win by submission. These are rare qualities to find well-balanced in any mix martial artist. The only defeat Jones had was against Matt Hamill in 2009. He was disqualified due to an illegal blow during that bout.

In December 2018, Jon got back into the Octagon and knocked out Alexander Gustafsson. With a new and fancy belt around his waist, he would face Anthony “Lion Heart” Smith next. In a fight, if I were, to be honest, Smith made justice to his nickname. Now Bones is ready to defend his title once again facing Thiago Santos.

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UFC Pick: Jones -750
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Santos comes to this fight with four victories in a row and holding a professional record 21-6. His last fight was with Jan Blachowicz, who is fighting Rockhold this Saturday.

Santos is a dynamic striker by nature. The guy has a hammer in his hands. He has experience with capoeira, and although the Brazilian art shines in his acrobatic movements, is not common to see capoeira movements in UFC fights.

What is an advantage is that Thiago is agile to quickly change position without any issues, and his KO power is equally effective from both dominant leg and southpaw.

This is the first time Jones is going to be facing Thiago Santos. The last defeat of the Brazilian was in 2018 against Dave Branch. Bones technically has never lost in the UFC, if we discount his disqualification against Matt Hamill.

What’s The Pick?

Jones has a slight reach and height advantage over Santos. In general, Jones is faster and lighter on his feet. However, the devastating punching power from the Brazilian is not something to underestimate. If Jones isn’t aware enough, he might end up under a storm of powerful punches.

Thiago’s kicking is good but I wouldn’t go as far as saying that it’s better than the current champ. I’m usually not a big fan of betting favorites. MyBookie.ag has Jones as a massive favorite at -750, but I’m happy to take a shot at the champ on this one.

Amanda Nunes vs. Holly Holm – UFC 239 Free Picks

Right now I dare to say there’s no fighter in the division like Amanda “The Lioness” Nunes. She currently has a winning streak in two weight classes.

And it’s part of the select few that can call themselves “champ-champs” She got her bantamweight title against Miesha Tate in 2016. And would defend her title against Ronda Rousey with an impressive TKO in the first round, after The Lioness outperformed Rousey in the punches exchange.

Amanda’s last fight was in 2018 at UFC 232, where she fought Cris Cyborg for the featherweight title. Nunes once again took the world by surprise when she knocked out Cyborg in the first round. Nunes wrote her own chapter in UFC history that day, becoming the first women’s double champion in UFC.

Nunes is a brown belt in judo and a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, but don’t let this fool you, she’s not only a great grappler but an incredible striker as well. Right now she is ranked as the sixth best pound-for-pound fighter in the world.

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Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm got herself back into the train of victory after defeating the Australian Megan Anderson by unanimous decision last year. Holly’s fighting journey had been on a complicated streak before that.

She won the bantamweight title in 2015 but then lost her next three fights. She got back on track with a KO victory against Bethe Correia.

nunes weight in - ufc 239 free betting picksHowever, she would later lose her fight with Cris Cyborg at the end of 2017. Of course, this doesn’t imply that she’s not a top-level contender for Nunes. But on that level winning is your only option if you want to stay on top of the game.

The only issue with Holm’s style is that it does not compete with the aggressiveness Nunes brought to the division. Although she has a world-class technique, she has always been outperformed when rivals decide to stay on top of her from the first minute. That will likely be the scenario once again against Nunes.

Our Pick In Nunes Vs. Holm?

Holly Holm comes to this fight with a 2-4 record in her last six fights. Amanda, on the other side, comes to this fight with the confidence boost you get from being a champ-champ. On top of that, Nunes holds a winning streak of 8 victories in a row and does not lose a fight since 2014.

I’m not implying Holly Holm is not a legit rival. On the contrary, the Preacher’s Daughter is a household name in the game, and her striking is not only beautiful but very dangerous as well.

However, we need to be objective and recognize that she’s at a disadvantage in almost everything in this fight. Amanda Nunes is more aggressive, her endurance is better, and her power, well ask Ronda Rousey about it.

Holly needs to pull off the perfect fight to win by decision or simply engage with Nunes in a surprising way in round one. But, to be honest I don’t think that’s the way things will be. With 77.78% implied probability, I take Nunes at -350.

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Gustavo Santiago

Gustavo is a dedicated mixed martial artist, UFC die-hard fan, and bettor. He’s responsible for our MMA fight breakdowns and UFC picks here at SBS while he’s taking a break from his Muay Thai, Boxing, Wrestling or Bjj training. He is the SBS’ king of Mixed Martial Arts.

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