UFC 243: Robert Whittaker Vs. Israel Adesanya – UFC Betting Odds And Picks

UFC 243 Expert Picks And Odds

UFC 243 is happening this Saturday, October 5th, in Australia. This event brings us a belt unification bout in the middleweight division.

Robert “The Reaper” Whittaker and Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya will step into the Octagon to settle who will be the absolute king of the division.

The champion, Robert Whittaker, comes back to action in the UFC after a forced break due to a staphylococcus infection, among other injuries.

Robert Whittaker Vs. Israel Adesanya Betting Preview

On Saturday, Whittaker will face one of the most challenging fights of his career. Not only he’s coming back from a long break, but he comes to fight the undefeated interim champ Israel Adesanya. Let’s take a look at the odds.

Fighter Moneyline
Robert Whittaker +100
Israel Adesanya -130
Bet On Whittaker vs. Adesanya At MyBookie.ag

In most books last week, you could find The Last Style Bender around +103. Right now, in most sports betting sites, he is the favorite to unify the title. Now you will find Adesanya at -130 in MyBookie.ag, for example.

It is not unusual to see a challenger come as the favorite to a title fight. But in this case, it makes sense. Israel Adesanya has accomplished a lot in a short UFC career. And he’s entertaining inside and outside the Octagon.

Robert Whittaker is a killer, but he’s coming from a long break. Moneyline odds of +100 look interesting as long as during his time off, he was active in other competitions.

No matter who you pick in the end, I recommend you to shop around. If you don’t know where to look, don’t miss our top ranking MMA betting sites.

The Return Of The Champ

Despite not being active in the UFC since 2018, Robert Whittaker’s downtime shouldn’t harm his performance this weekend. As I’m confident, he went back to the gym as soon as he recovered.

Alex Prates, his head coach, said in an interview that The Reaper was never 100% off. According to Patres, Whittaker competed in wrestling events. And he used the time off to improve in other aspects of his game.

Of the last three fights he had in the UFC, the champion faced Yoel Romero twice; who is one of the toughest guys in the division. He also fought “Jacaré” five times Jiu-Jitsu champ a got the victory.

I can see the champ pushing forward constantly and landing big shots. Similar to what he did in his second fight with Romero.

Adesanya The Rising Super Star

Adesanya is an incredible striker. He has a different style than The Reaper though, he loves to stay out and faint a lot to create openings. The Last Style Bender will try to mess with Whittaker’s reactions since the beginning of the fight.

I don’t see Israel Adesanya willingly taking the fight to the ground. He got promoted to blue belt by Galvão. However, I don’t think his ground game is sharp enough at this level to make it the main focus of his game plan.

In no more than a year and a half, Israel skyrocketed his UFC career. Solid wins against Derek Brunson, Anderson Silva, and Kelvin Gastelum, granted him the interim champion belt while Whittaker was injured.

Adesanya now has to beat Robert Whittaker inside the Octagon. One of the most rigorous tests of his UFC career. The battle promises to be one of the best fights of the year.

Whittaker vs. Adesanya – What’s The Pick?

Adesanya is the type of fighter that plays with his opponent’s reflexes and reactions to set up traps and open angles to land powerful punches.

His footwork is excellent. It is not strange to see him switching from his regular stance to southpaw while creating more angles and space to land strikes. He’s light on his feet, which is impressive for a guy of his size.

Against Gastelum, we had the opportunity to see his takedown defense in action. He did well, in my opinion. I guess all that training at Atos paid off for him.

Whittaker, on the other hand, is the type of guy with the push forward mentality. I can see him putting more strikes out there compared to the Adesanya.

Constant Pressure On Adesanya

I can picture the champ putting constant pressure on Adesanya and sneaking all sorts of unorthodox but effective kicks in between punches.

Whittaker is relentless. During his last fight with Yoel Romero, he broke his hand and continued like a true warrior winning the fight. I believe mentally, he’s ready for whatever for his opponent throws at him in this matchup.

This fight is a tough call. I believe both guys have more than enough arguments to be the champion of the division.

Success will come to whoever can figure out the opponent’s defense and land more significant strikes first. I don’t see this fight ending early, and I think we might see a winner by decision.

Where’s The Value

I think Whittaker will see openings other fighters couldn’t capitalize on before. At +100, I’m taking the returning champ and considering he has more than 50% implied probability of obtaining the victory I’m not crazy.

I would still shop around for props as this is such a tight matchup — something like Adesanya by decision at the right price sounds interesting too.

Bet On Whittaker vs. Adesanya At MyBookie Sportsbook

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Gustavo Santiago

Gustavo Santiago - MMA Analyst & Writer

Gustavo is a dedicated mixed martial artist, UFC die-hard fan, and bettor. He’s responsible for our MMA fight breakdowns and UFC picks here at SBS while he’s taking a break from his Muay Thai, Boxing, Wrestling or Bjj training. He is the SBS’ king of Mixed Martial Arts.

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