UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 Betting Odds And Predictions

UFC 263 Betting Predictions

Ever get a case of “FOMO” when something big is about to happen?

Dogecoin, AMC, Gamestop, etc., have all been scenarios where many have had to watch from the sidelines while others get rich, but today is a day to take control of your destiny.

It’s just about time for the next mega-card with UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2, and we’re ready to break down the three main fights that offer unique and valuable betting opportunities.

Let’s see the event info, then dive into who has the betting edge in each matchup and why you should feel excited to bet on this card.

When And How To Watch UFC 263

The UFC 263 main card will take place Saturday, June 12th at 10 PM EST at the Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona. It will be available for purchase as a PPV.

Something to note is if you are an ESPN+ subscriber, you could purchase directly through that respective service.

Israel Adesanya Vs. Marvin Vettori 2 Betting Odds & Prediction

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori Odds To Win
Israel Adesanya-245 BetUS UFC Sportsbook
Marvin Vettori+195

A rematch that’s been in the works for 3 years now is finally reaching its culmination as reigning Middleweight Champion Israel Adesanya (-245) is set to face off against his second ever UFC opponent, Marvin Vettori (+195).

In their last match, the fight resulted in a split decision going Adesanya’s way, but both fighters have grown a lot since that moment.

Let’s just get to it, Israel Adesanya has established himself as one of the greatest UFC fighters in his brief time with the company and as one of the greatest fighters of all time.

Marvin Vettori is the most challenging competition he will have faced at middleweight, yet Adesanya should still win this with relative ease

The fact bettors are getting only a (-245) Moneyline in comparison to the standard (-400) or worse odds he receives from UFC Sportsbooks, only makes it more exciting to bet Adesanya in this bout.

Why We See Adesanya As The Winner?

Israel Adesanya vs Marvin Vettori 2 Betting Prediction

Adesanya’s only loss in the UFC came to the Light Heavyweight Champion Jan Blachowicz, who used his massive size advantage to keep Adesanya grounded most of the fight. 

However, against a guy his size with a smaller weight advantage, Adesanya should do more of what he knows best, and that is slowly picking apart his opponents on his feet

The way he can fake one way and deliver with the other side has been a signature to his success, and other opponents have not adapted well. Against someone as fearsome a striker as Adesanya, you have to take every threat of damage seriously, and as a result, Adesanya has the ultimate advantage. 

Now that is said with no disrespect to Marvin Vettori, who has respectfully worked his butt off to get to this spot against Adesanya. Vettori is a powerful striker and an equipped grappler, but this is not a fight against Kevin Holland; this is a fight against one of the GOATs

Adesanya will not allow Vettori to take him down twice, nevertheless 13 times. As a result, Adesanya will keep his distance, pick his strikes, and keep Vettori as a contender rather than a champion. Until Adesanya leaves the division, it truly is hard to see anybody else being champion. 

With an excellent value for bettors on Adesanya’s Moneyline (-260), he remains an obvious choice to bet for this main event.

Deiveson Figueiredo Vs. Brandon Moreno Betting Odds & Prediction

UFC 263: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Odds To Win
Deiveson Figueiredo-240 BetUS UFC Sportsbook
Brandon Moreno+190

The co-main event will be highly anticipated as the first fight between the two as the main event of UFC 256 was one of the best fights of 2020.

This rematch has high stakes as it was the first time we have seen Deiveson Figueiredo (-240) in trouble when defending the belt. 

In previous matches, Figueiredo had submitted Joseph Benavidez and Alex Perez in the first round and could walk out without a scratch on him.

However, from the moment Brandon Moreno (+190) entered the ring, there was a different feeling about the match. Usually, when Figueiredo begins his early bombardment of strikes, nobody quite has an answer for it. 

Still, Moreno early and often was piecing up Figueiredo and had made his longshot odds near even early on.

The rest of the fight was a dogfight, and it was tough to pick a definitive winner. As a result, the judges had a majority draw decision for the match, and Figueiredo was able to keep the belt.

What We See Happening In This Fight?

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno Betting Prediction

This time around, Moreno is in a much better position to get it done.

Forget the fact that he looks like McLovin’ from Superbad, and you will see a fighter with an absurd amount of poise, a wide variety of skills, and most importantly against a fighter of Figuredio’s ability, equipped with a very tough chin. 

It seemed as if Figueiredo was almost frustrated with the lack of response to Moreno’s damage, which confused him for a lot of the fight.

Moreno knows that Figueiredo wants to finish him early with more time training and a read on how Figuereido fights.

If he could fight the first two rounds and tire Figueiredo conservatively out, he will have a much better chance of finding a lapse of judgment in the distance and landing a knockout blow. This would open great opportunities for an MMA round bet.

Figueiredo is an animal in his respective right and deserves to be favored in this match. Still, with a price tag as hefty as -240, I’m just not seeing much value from riding with Figueiredo on this one when we saw that Moreno is very capable of going five rounds. 

Figueiredo has had a brilliant run as the Flyweight Champion, but the nod here goes to the youngster Moreno with a juicy plus Moneyline (+190).

Leon Edwards Vs. Nate Diaz Betting Odds & Prediction

UFC 263: Edwards vs. Diaz Odds To Win
Leon Edwards-550 BetUS UFC Sportsbook
Nate Diaz+375

The first of the three big fights starts with the return of the infamous Nate Diaz (+375). He is one of the most unconventional fighters in all of the sports, preferring to smack opponents then throw small jabs, and has been known to have one of the toughest chins in all of the sport. 

The last time he fought ended in a controversy as the doctors decided Diaz could not continue, although he was very ready to continue getting after Jorge Masvidal. As a result, he’s been hungry and training for his next opportunity, which will finally come in the form of a very tough competitor in Leon Edwards (-550)

Leon Edwards is an absurd 8-0 since his fight against reigning Middleweight champion Kamaru Usman, but has never gotten a title shot.

Dana White is ready for the next step, though, as if Edwards beats a brand name like Diaz and strengthens his record to 9-0, it would be nearly impossible to argue that a rematch versus Usman would be the right fight to book. 

Edwards is known for his tactical approach to the sport, not delivering the maximum damage but rather on landing significant strikes, taking care of the ground game, and pressuring the opposing fighter with submission attempts.

However, Edwards has only had a finish in two of his last eight matches and it should be noted facing someone with a high pain threshold such as Diaz.

What Is The Best Bet To Place?

Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz Betting Prediction

In terms of how the two match up, Diaz is an older, slower fighter that relies on haymakers and submissions to do the job rather than someone who takes all the technical aspects into a fight into consideration.

For Diaz, this fight will either result in a knockout for a win or a loss by decision.

There isn’t much wiggle room, and because of that, Edwards is a massive favorite in this bout. Edwards is too fast, too technical, and too hungry for a title shot to lose this match and has threatened to “batter” Diaz, a side we don’t see out of Edwards quite often.

With a motive to put down his opponent and all the skills in the world to get it done, Edwards, even with the ridiculous price tag, is worth the wager.

However, when props and UFC over under bets come out, consider parlaying the over in this fight or taking Edwards in a decision prop bet. It is the surefire most excellent chance of giving better odds for more value.

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Joseph Falchetti

Joseph Falchetti - Editor-in-Chief / Sports Writer & Analyst

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent sports and casino content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst, and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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