Utah State Vs. North Texas Predictions – New Mexico Bowl
The first attractive matchup of the 2018 bowl season will have the Utah State Aggies clashing against the North Texas Mean Green at New Mexico Bowl in Albuquerque. Both teams combined for 19 wins against just five losses, and now it’s time to close out the season with a top performance. The Aggies were an 11-point favorite when the betting line opened at MyBookie.ag.
One of the things you should know for this game is Utah Head coach this season Matt Wells won’t be on the sidelines for the New Mexico Bowl. Wells took a head coaching job with the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The offensive coordinator David Yost will be calling the shots. 62% of the betting public is siding with North Texas for this one. The game total now is at 68 points after it opened at 65.
Utah State Aggies vs. North Texas Predictions
We have seen head coaches taking jobs after the regular season and before a bowl showing. This is not new. The problem for the Aggies is head coach Matt Wells took both coordinators and six other assistants with him. That’s a huge predicament. I can give stats and analysis of the season for Utah State but without Wells and the rest of his coaching staff that all goes to the trash. North Texas just missed out of the C-USA championship game after having a worst divisional record than UAB. All the Mean Green losses were against teams in their same conference. That eventually hurt them.
After losing their last two Bowl games in a row, I think North Texas will be a little more engaged to win this one for their seniors that will play their final game with the program. Part of getting the right pick during Bowl seasons is finding out which teams are motivated actually to win these games. With everything surrounding Utah State, I think they are ready to mail the season in. They are just ready to pack, go home and think about 2019. North Texas not so much. The counterpart is people would think because coach Wells left, players want to show they can win without him. While that’s a cute story is not reality.
Preparation and habits fall apart when a coaching change like this happen. The fact that Wells took almost all his coaching staff with him to Texas Tech makes this one a bigger problem for the Aggies. By betting North Texas, I get a team with a solid winning record with a chance to win its first bowl in three years. They also have the steadier head coaching situation, and I’m getting points with it. I just don’t think the Aggies will be ready for this one. What’s the play? North Texas +7.5.
Spread: Utah -7.5
Money line: Utah State -310 vs. North Texas +250
Game Total: 68
Date: Saturday, December 15, 2018
Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, NM
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