Valencia Vs. Arsenal | Europa League Semi Final Betting Predictions And Odds
Valencia played a good game in London during the first leg of Europa League semifinals but left the Emirates Stadium with a harsh 1-3 loss against Arsenal. They need a solid performance to turn around the series at Mestalla. Let’s take a look at all the scenarios. The only result that will send this semifinal to extra time is Valencia winning 3-1. Any other score will end the game over regular time. Valencia is down two scores; a 2-0 win will send them to the final, considering they scored once in London. The away goals rule would be in play here.
Valencia Vs. Arsenal – Europa League Betting Preview
Arsenal has an excellent 3-1 lead that looks bigger than it should, mainly, because Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored the third goal in the last seconds of the first leg. The first meeting didn’t feel like there should be a two goals difference between these teams. After the result on Thursday, Arsenal is now +200 to win the Europa League. Both English teams got good results in the first legs, which would suggest they are the favorite to meet in the final. If Chelsea takes on Arsenal in the last game, then, it’s likely the Blues jump out as favorites. The current odds over Arsenal give the Gunners an implied probability of 33% of winning the Europa League.
Valencia is a longshot to win the title listed at +700. Yes, they in a hole, but the result they need to get back in the second leg is not an impossible one. In fact, out of the four teams remaining the Spanish side has the most value. The odds say Valencia has 12% chances to win the Europa League, which let’s face it, it’s not much. But the Spanish can’t overreact to the scenario they are in. 3-1 might be a little severe of a result after a good game in London, but the series is only asking for a 2-0 win at home. Add to it Arsenal has one of the weakest defenses in Europe and they could be easily back in contention with one early score.
Valencia scored first in the first leg and had a couple of chances to score the second. There is a reason Arsenal lost three straight Premier League games in the last two weeks and it’s their defense. Teams like Crystal Palace, Wolverhampton, and Leicester not only beat Arsenal but made them looked badly. Their defense is a known weakness. In those three losses, the Gunners allowed three goals per contest. If you ask any Arsenal fan if they are happy with the first leg result, they would say, yes, but that goal Valencia got complicates everything.
The Spanish are +101 to win the second leg, with a 50% chance to get the result. Keep in mind, in soccer, there are three possible outcomes, which means a 50% implied probability is more than a fair chance. I can’t see Arsenal winning or even tying this game. The Gunners might advance due to the overall result, but the second leg should fall on the side of the home team.
What’s the play? Valencia -119.
- Money line: Valencia -119 vs. Arsenal +275 , Draw +268
- Handicap/spread: Valencia -0.5 (-120) vs. Arsenal +0.5 (+100)
- Game total: 3 goals
- Date: Thursday, May 9, 2019
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mestalla Stadium
- First leg result: Arsenal 3-1
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