World Series Game 2: Chicago Cubs at Cleveland Indians
I hit correctly on Game 1, backing the Indians to beat the Cubs in last night’s game. They did so convincingly fashion, blanking Chicago in last night’s game and winning by a score of 6-0. Catcher Roberto Perez hit two home runs in the victory and Corey Kluber finished with nine strikeouts and just four hits in six innings.
A note for those expecting the game tonight to be played at 8:08 PM. Due to potential rain issues, it has been moved up to 7:08 PM first pitch.
The odds for Game 2 opened with the Cubs as -160 favorites, depending on the site, this put the Indians at +145 and +150 range. Betting action has been split down the middle on the game, but the odds since opening have shifted for the Indians. At BetOnline.ag, the current odds are Cubs -137 and Indians +127.
The total opened at 7 runs and has stayed on that number but with varying juice. The betting action is heavy on the over, with about almost 80 percent of wagers on the over 7 runs. The current odds are over 7 (-120) and under 7 runs (+100).
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Arrieta versus Bauer
Chicago turns to righthander Jake Arrieta to rebound from last night’s loss. Arrieta won the Cy Young in 2015 and is regarded as one of the game’s best pitchers. He didn’t perform quite at the level he did last season, but put in a strong 2016 with an 18-8 record over 197.1 innings and a 3.10 ERA.
He’s been less than spectacular in the postseason, however. Over two starts, which both took place on the road, ended in losses. He sports an 0-1 record and a 4.91 ERA in the playoffs so far.
Righty Trevor Bauer takes the mound for the Indians tonight. He didn’t make it far in his last outing against the Blue Jays due to a cut on his hand, but the Indians won with a great effort from the bullpen.
Bauer has been up and down this season. He has a 12-8 record over 190 innings. The Indians will also have Danny Salazar available to come out of the bullpen if Bauer doesn’t make it long. Salazar started the year in the rotation and is coming off injury. He is expected to be able to throw 70 or more pitches.
I’ve been trying to find a reason to take the Cubs or Indians in this one, but I can’t find any bet that makes sense when it comes to picking sides. To me, the wager that makes the most sense, even though it seems to be efficiently priced is the over 7 runs.
Arrieta hasn’t exactly been in Cy Young form all season long. He hasn’t had a bad year by any stretch, quite the contrary, but he has been much worse this year compared to 2015. Regression was obviously coming, but his current form isn’t great either.
These Indians’ hitters won’t wow anyone with their star power, but they’re a patient bunch that will force opposing pitchers to throw strikes to get them out. They also won’t run into out on the base paths.
Regression is likely coming for the Indians bullpen as well. We’re not sure how Bauer will perform tonight and though Salazar is a talented pitcher – he has had issues with control throughout his career and is coming off an injury.
Pick: Over 7 Runs