World Series Game 3: Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs
The World Series moves to the Windy City on Friday evening with the Fall Classic tied at 1-1. The Indians took Game 1, but the Cubs rebounded in Game 2, winning 5-1 on the back of an excellent performance by Jake Arrieta.
Tonight’s game marks the first of three games at Wrigley. Despite the Cubs having a better regular season record, the American League won the All-Star Game, giving the Indians home field advantage. Games 6 & 7, if needed will be played back in Cleveland.
The Cubs are heavy favorites in Game 3. The odds opened with them as -200 favorites. Over 80 percent of wagers have been bet on Chicago so far. The odds did move the other direction, however. Currently, the odds at BetOnline.ag sit at Cubs -190 and the Indians +180.
The total opened at 8.5 runs. About 65 percent of wagers have come in on the under. That has shifted the odds to 8 runs at most bookmakers. At BetOnline, the total is currently at 8 runs, but juiced at -120 on the over and +100 on the under.
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Tomlin versus Kendricks
The Indians will go with right-hander Josh Tomlin for their first game at Chicago in the series. Tomlin has had an up and down year, finishing with a 4.40 ERA over 174 innings and a 13-9 record. In this playoffs, he’s been better. Tomlin has two victories, in two starts after wins against Boston and Toronto. He has only allowed three runs in 10 2/3 innings. He has never faced the Cubs.
On a more personal note, Tomlin’s ailing father will be in attendance at Wrigley after he suffered a lower body injury which has left him in a wheelchair.
Chicago will go with righty Kyle Hendricks, who has become a surprise Cy Young candidate in the NL after a career year. Hendricks threw 190 innings this season with a 2.13 ERA and a 16-8 record. Hendricks is 2-0 in three playoff starts this season.
He’s been especially good at home this season, going 9-2 with a 1.32 ERA in 15 home starts this season.
Both pitchers don’t have much of a history with either team, and they’re both crafty right-handers that have fastballs in the high 80s and 90s. The total is easily the highest of any game so far, and with good reason, both of these offenses should have success.
Laying the chalk, especially when it’s close to -200 isn’t something I am fond of doing, but with Hendrick’s success at home and the Indians offense being much better at home and against left-handers – I think it makes sense to pay up in this spot.
Pick: Cubs -190