NBA Draft Betting Preview and Expert Picks
2019 NBA Draft Betting Preview – Prop Bets and Odds
The 2019 NBA Draft doesn’t feel like any other we have seen in recent years. Part of it is due to the league being wide open after the Golden State Warriors’ domination abruptly came to an end in the finals. This draft has it all:
- A megastar coming from College basketball in Zion Williamson.
- Many teams trying to pull some trades to add some serious talent to their roster.
- We are all waiting to see how the New York Knicks are going to screw this up.
The NBA Draft is on Thursday, June 20, at the Barclays Center. Last night we realized several online sportsbooks offered a few NBA prop bets for the draft.
Good luck finding value in Zion (-9900) being the number pick or Ja Morant (-5000) getting drafted as the second pick overall. Right after those picks, a lot of things can happen. We should take advantage of what should be an exciting night in this year’s NBA draft!
Let’s take a look at some great prop bets for the 2019 NBA draft:
NBA Draft – Number of Duke Players in the Top 5
|Over 2.5 Players||+370|
|Under 2.5 Players||-530|
Duke was a must-see team during the College Basketball season, and it was because of Zion. However, while Zion was stealing the spotlight, many debated if RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish were really the most talented players on the team.
MyBookie.ag is offering odds to see if all three of these players will get drafted in the first five positions. We all know Zion Williamson is a lock. For many RJ Barrett is also a lock going to the New York Knicks in the third overall pick. The question remains if someone is going to pull the trigger with Cam Reddish inside the Top 5 draft picks.
Of these three, it’s safe to say Reddish was the one who didn’t live to the expectations during the College Basketball season in 2018. His biggest problem are the nagging injuries, and that he’s not NBA ready. Will a team make Reddish a project to develop for the future? Sure, somebody might. However, he probably won’t be a pick inside the top 5.
Will New Orleans Pelicans Trade the #4 Pick?
The scenario where Cam Reddish ends up being drafted in the top 5 is complicated. I didn’t mention the part where the New Orleans Pelicans are actively selling the number four overall pick to the highest bidder. After trading Anthony Davis to the Lakers, the Pelicans got an asset they want to use as an exchange and nothing more.
This isn’t news for anybody or a secret. The Pelicans have said it repeatedly, if you want the number four pick just come with a solid trade lineup and it will be done. New Orleans already has a very talented young team. They don’t really need to cash that 4th overall pick. Teams with glaring holes in the guard position like Chicago Bulls, Orlando Magic, Phoenix Suns, and Minnesota Timberwolves will be ready to outbid each other.
We don’t know where this 4th overall pick is going, but we don’t need to know. At -200 at BetOnline.ag, there is a 67% implied winning probability for this wager. There are just too many options for New Orleans to choose from. The odds asking price is not high enough to run the other way.
Which Player is Going to Get Drafted as the 4th Overall Pick?
R.J. Barrett should land on the New York Knicks as the third overall pick, so he’s out. However, it’s the Knicks we are talking about, and they might find a way to screw this up. If things follow the order as they are supposed to, Jarrett Culver, Darius Garland, and De’Andre Hunter are the three players with the best odds.
I like Colby White a lot and whoever gets him will land a true talent. Most teams are aiming for him a little higher in the draft, so he’s out of the discussion as well.
Above I mentioned the Bulls, Magic, Suns, and Timberwolves have holes in their backcourt. All of them are very interested in the 4th overall pick currently in the hand of the Pelicans. If any of these pull a trade, then the two prominent names would be the guards Culver and Garland.
Jarrett Culver is perceived as the most versatile prospect in the draft next to Zion. He can create his own shots, which is something bad teams are looking for. But also, Darius Garland suffered from a torn meniscus last season and only played five games with Vanderbilt. Some say that’s enough to keep him out of the Top 5.
De’Andre Hunter Draft Position Odds
|Over 5.5 Overall Pick||-150|
|Under 5.5 Overall Pick||+110|
In the previous bet, I barely covered hte De’Andre Hunter situation in this draft. I skipped it because the teams aiming for a player in the 4th overall pick have guard needs. However, Hunter would be an excellent fit on any team that really wants him.
The Cavaliers with the 5th overall pick is an interesting fit because they don’t have a player like De’Andre Hunter. He brings an NBA-ready defense at the point of attack and catch-and-shoot ability. Cleveland can’t afford to get crazy in the draft. They need a safe play with this pick. Hunter is a solid player with the potential to become one of the best big-man shooters in the game during the next few seasons.
A few reports have revealed that new Cavaliers coach John Beilein is an avid fan of De’Andre Hunter. That sure helps his stocks.
How Many Foreign-Born Players Drafted in Round 1?
|Over 7.5 Players||-130|
|Under 7.5 Players||-110|
I’m not going to sit here and pretend I watch European basketball every weekend; I don’t. The allure of the international players has increased plenty over the last decade. We can’t overstate the fact that NBA teams are now more inclined to try an International player who might have better fundamentals, rather than developing a kid from a small school. With that said, this might be one of the drafts with fewest international player buzz in recent years.
The odds offered at BetOnline.ag showing seven International player picks in the first round seems way too high for my taste. I can’t see so many foreign-born players going in the first 30 picks.
Bet on the 2019 NBA Draft at MyBookie Sportsbook
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MyBookie offers its members some of the highest limits for betting on NBA basketball. With their long list of NBA Draft prop bets, they are the perfect choice. Anyone looking to watch the Draft while placing a few wagers should give MyBookie.ag a try.