College Basketball Betting Strategy
Applying tested college basketball betting strategies to your college hoops betting will guarantee an increase in profitability.
If you are looking for NCAA basketball betting strategies to be used throughout the regular season, you are in the right place (we cover March Madness betting strategy in a different section of SBS).
Although the long grind of the season doesn’t get quite as much betting action as the March Madness tournament does, college basketball markets have been a favorite of sharp bettors for quite some time.
The multitude of college hoops betting sites available allows you to participate in a variety of online wagering opportunities.
Read on and learn a few betting tips that will make betting on college hoops more profitable and fun.
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College Basketball Betting Strategies
A betting strategy is a structured approach to betting with the objective of increasing profitability. On this page, we review some key strategies you can apply when placing bets on college basketball.
Betting Tip #1Consider Wagering Limits
College basketball limits are among the lowest among major sports. Still, wagering limits will typically increase for the NCAA tournament – which is an aspect that is worth considering when placing your bets.
During the regular college hoops season, players will only be able to bet a fraction of what they can in NFL markets, for example. Some markets may be reduced more than others, especially when it comes to lesser-known conferences.
Betting Tip #2Focus On Early Season Wagering
The second aspect you should consider when betting on college hoops is that the oddsmakers simply don’t have the time to cover every NCAA basketball team, particularly when it comes to mid-major schools.
Sports bettors can study these teams, and those from high major schools, and familiarize themselves with them better than most sportsbook managers.
Remember, NCAA college basketball begins in mid-November. This is a busy time for betting sites that are in the middle of the NFL season and fresh off the start of the NBA.
College basketball interest doesn’t usually ramp up until the schedule for the top teams gets a bit tougher in the new year. Similar to the NBA, the oddsmakers’ odds are less sharp at the beginning of the year than they are later in the season.
Coaches may try new things earlier in the year. Players need to get adjusted to systems. There is a lot more variation when it comes to playing time.
This is truer for college basketball, compared to the pros, as every team has a new class of freshmen. Playing time isn’t nearly as sure as it in the pros. Most NBA teams have their rotations mostly set, even at the beginner of the season, but playing time in the college game, specifically early on, is quite volatile.
Knowledge is key to betting on College Basketball, even more so than when betting on other sports.
Betting Tip #3Take Into Account Public Betting
Fading the public (or betting against the gambling public) isn’t usually an available betting strategy for the vast majority of college basketball games.
The reason for this is that the public simply doesn’t have an interest in most of the games leading up to conference tournaments and the NCAA March Madness tournament.
However, there are situations where public betting is a factor to consider when placing a basketball bet. One of the most common is when a highly ranked team takes on a weaker team and/or a mid-major team.
Essentially, we’re looking for heavy public betting (more than 70%) action on one side, and preferably, a double-digit spread.
Betting Tip #4Historical Numbers
Historical betting numbers indicate that the NCAA public betting does overvalue favorites.
If the game is televised nationally, for example, this will influence the amount of public action in the game, therefore affecting the line. There can be quite a bit of value when it comes to significant underdogs who are not respecting the public.
The bet is enhanced even more in cases when the teams were once one-time rivals or if the underdog has something to prove, such as competing with a highly ranked team after a terrible in-conference loss.
The team doesn’t necessarily have to rank in the A.P.’s Top 25, but that’s often the case with teams that get substantial public backing. Remember, the top 25 teams change quite a bit throughout the year, the gap between an unranked team and a ranked team is much closer than the betting masses think.
Betting Tip #5Betting Moneylines
NCAA basketball moneylines typically have the lowest betting limits out of any college basketball market. They are a tight market for sportsbooks to price, particularly because they often don’t have a ton of information on one or both of the teams.
The line movement in college basketball, especially in the case of unranked teams on games that aren’t on national television, is almost always a case of wise guys or sharp, professional-level bettors.
Moneylines may be tougher to track than other markets. In many cases, moneyline odds for college basketball games, and specifically those with two mid-majors playing may not be available when looking at a live odds board. It is tougher to find where the odds opened. However, line movement, particularly when it’s a large move on moneylines, can be hugely significant.
Moneyline betting odds are tied to point spread odds but are not always calculated correctly by sportsbooks. It’s also important to keep in mind that if the sportsbooks are inflating their odds due to public betting action, it’s not only the point spread that will be inefficient but the moneyline as well.
Point spread wagers are 1.1 to win 1 unit in most cases, but moneyline wagers, especially when it comes to underdogs, offer more significant returns.
Betting Tip #6Use KenPom.com
If you’re betting college basketball and haven’t been to KenPom.com, you’re making a huge mistake.
If you were just a fan of the sport (and not a sports bettor), you’re merely missing out on an exciting resource, but if you’re betting and not checking out the site, you’re missing out an awesome extra tool for wagering.
Their rankings are a bit different than the A.P.’s. They rank the teams going forward – not how a team has played previously. The rankings are based on which team would win on a neutral court the next day, which is far more valuable than the A.P.’s rankings.
KenPom’s rankings aren’t something the average public visits before placing a bet. It’s vital to differentiate yourself from statistics that the betting public is using to evaluate betting markets.
One of the best-advanced statistics they offer is adjusted efficiency. This ranks teams based on their offense and defensive efficiency, which is also weighted based on the opponent. It’s probably the best statistic online for evaluating a team’s ability on both sides of the ball.
Betting Tip #7Follow Beat Writers
This college basketball betting strategy goes back to learning more about the games and its coaches and players.
There is value in following local beat writers on Twitter for college hoops handicapping as part of a basketball betting system. Still, much, of the news regarding the NBA is mainstream and widely reported.
However, college basketball is a whole different ballgame (no pun intended). One thing we’ve been touching on throughout this entire article is getting to know mid-majors. This works in larger conferences as well but isn’t nearly as valuable.
Beat writers will be excellent in both cases. Twitter is one of the best places to find news closer to tip-off, especially when it comes to injuries. Bettors can undoubtedly find information the sportsbooks don’t just yet have and, in some cases, will be able to act on it before the odds are adjusted.
Place Your NCAAB Bets At These Top Sites
Ready to put these college basketball betting strategies to the test? Check out these three sites for the latest odds and lines and start betting on college basketball this season.
|Rank||Top Sites||Deposit Bonus||Get Started|
|#1||50% Up To $1,000||Bet & Win|
|#2||50% Up To $1,000||Bet & Win|
|#3||50% Up To $1,000||Bet & Win|
Read our full review of the top sportsbooks for your College Basketball Bets
College Basketball Betting Systems
There are many college basketball betting systems. We at SBS use one of the most simple and long-standing betting systems – that is, to bet on an unranked team that is favored against a ranked team.
The whole idea is pretty straightforward and cuts to the core of successful handicapping. Sportsbooks know more than you and it is not a bad idea to fade the public or bet against the masses.
We recommend following the sportsbooks on what teams you should place your NCAA college basketball wagers. You can learn more about basketball strategies by reading our guide to NBA betting systems.