MLB Playoff Odds For ALCS, NLCS & World Series [Updated] – Betting Preview
It was a quite Divisional Series with neither series going to five games and all the top seeds advancing. The American League is likelier the more exciting of the two matchups as it pits the defending title holders in Houston against the Boston Red Sox, the team who had the best regular season record in baseball this year.
The Brewers are also making waves on the back of an NL MVP candidacy for Christian Yelich. They will take on the Dodgers who narrowly failed to win the World Series last season, ultimately bowing out in Game 7 against Houston. Let’s look at one out of top-rated baseball betting sites, SportsBetting.ag and their MLB playoffs and the World Series futures.
2018 World Baseball Series – Odds to Win the World Series
- Houston Astros +175
- Boston Red Sox +225
- Los Angeles Dodgers +275
- Milwaukee Brewers +400
The Astros are now the favorite at most online sportsbooks to win the World Series, but it’s close all around. I think that the Brewers are the most appealing at +400, as they’re playing fantastic baseball and though they have a much lower payroll than these other teams – their roster isn’t far behind the teams that are spending a lot more money. In fact, you could argue they had the best bullpen out of any team in the postseason.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Series Price
- Dodgers Series Prices -170
- Brewers Series Prices +150
The Dodgers are moderate favorites over the Brewers, and I am not sure that is justified. As I mentioned above, Milwaukee is being underrated in this spot. This series should probably be closer to a pk than L.A. being favored. I like the Brewers in the series, but bettors may want to bet this one game-by-game as it may offer them more value than taking them on the series line.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Game 1 Odds
- Las Angeles Dodgers -150
- Milwaukee Brewers +140
- Total: 7 runs
In Game 1, it will be Kershaw and Chacin for the Dodgers and Brewers, respectively. It’s unfair to criticize Kershaw for his postseason history, but it’s not been pretty. Still, this game is entirely independent of his past outings. Regardless, I like the Brewers. They have had some decent success against Kershaw in the past. Most importantly, they’re a nearly all-right-handed lineup, which will serve them well against any southpaw, even if it’s one of the best in the game, such as Kershaw.
Astros vs. Red Sox Series Price
- Houston Astros -143
- Red Sox +123
Despite the Red Sox finishing with a better record in the regular season – the Astros are a firm favorite in series. I agree with the oddsmaker’s line here for the most part. I don’t think there is a lot of value betting either side here, but I would lean Houston. The Red Sox do have Chris Sale, and he may be able to win two games for them, but their bullpen is awful. Every time they enter the game, they are at risk to blow even several run leads. We saw how poorly Kimbrel performed in the season finale of the Yankees series. He almost blew the game in the bottom of the ninth inning.
Astros vs. Brewers Game 1 Odds
- Astros +105
- Red Sox -115
- Total: 7 runs
While I do think Sale could win this series for Boston – I must echo what I said above. The Red Sox’s bullpen cannot be trusted to keep leads in the late innings of games. Verlander may be able to match Sale or best him this matchup, and it’s tough to say which team has a better lineup. It’s also worth noting that Altuve in particular (10 for 30 with a 1.056 OPS) has hit Sale well. And, other Astros have decent numbers against him too, albeit with a smaller sample size. Also, like the Brewers, they have lots of right-handed hitters facing a lefty starter. Home field is relevant here, but it’s tough not to want to bet Houston in this matchup as an underdog.
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