2019 AFC East Divisional Futures Predictions
For the past 20 years, the AFC East division has been the most predictable in the entire NFL. It’s easy money for both the sharks and the public. It’s not so much fun for those who attempt to challenge the reign of terror of the New England Patriots.
Nothing has changed in 2019 as the Patriots enter the season as favorites to win their 11th divisional title in a row. New England’s main competitor is themselves, but many believe the NY Jets are suited to make a run.
The Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills are far behind those two in terms of talent and expectations. Let’s review the odds for each team to win the AFC East in 2019.
Odds To Win AFC East 2019
|New England Patriots||-475|
|New York Jets||+525|
New England Patriots -475
Tom Brady has been the quarterback of the Patriots in the past 18 seasons, and the team has won 16 divisional titles. One of those two times New England failed to win the AFC East Brady went down with a knee injury four minutes into the season.
New England wins this division by default. Last season the Dolphins celebrated a Miracle with a last-second touchdown. However, that wasn’t enough to reach the playoffs.
That win was the Dolphins big move of the season. The Patriots dusted it off and went on to win not only the division but also the Super Bowl. The difference in mentality between New England and the other three franchises plays a significant roll in the Patriots success.
New York Jets +525
The Jets feel they have turned around their chances to be a relevant team in the NFL in two years. Last season they selected QB Sam Darnold in the first round and this year they added a bunch of players in free agency.
The easiest way to talk about the Jets is knowing they now have one of the best tailbacks in the league in Le’ Veon Bell. That’s not where they can challenge the Patriots. New York’s defense will make some noise in 2019.
The Jets brought defensive coordinator Greg Williams to put together a scary unit. Williams is crazy, loud and his defenses are always the most aggressive in the league.
New York selected DT Quinnen Williams in the first round in the draft this year and added LB free agent CJ Mosley to improve the unit. Watch out with this defense.
Buffalo Bills +750
The Bills had a similar approach as the Jets but with fewer known names. Buffalo will have a low-key good defense that will carry with the rest of the team. Coach Sean McDermott is a defensive-minded coach who wants to make his defense one of the best in the NFL.
The offense added WR Cole Beasley and John Brown. Both will sure help, but second-year QB Josh Allen needs to improve a lot for the Bills to compete.
Allen completed fewer than 60% of his passes last season. He has a cannon for an arm, but accuracy is a big problem.
Miami Dolphins +5000
No team in the entire NFL has the longest shot to win the division than the Miami Dolphins. At +5000 it almost attractive enough to throw some dollars at them to see if the bet sticks.
Miami is in reconstruction phase where they are trying to build for the future. The battle between QBs Josh Allen and Ryan Fitzpatrick doesn’t help the franchise.
If Fitzpatrick starts, the Dolphins gain little to nothing with him under center. If Rosen starts, he’s going to get killed under a horrible offensive line. The Dolphins have the weakest roster, not only in the division but in the entire NFL.
2019 NFL AFC East Divisional Pick – Patriots -475
It’s almost insane that I must make a case for the Patriots winning the AFC East, but my editor asked for it. A few days ago, New England was listed -500 to win the division. If you bet it now, you will be saving some bucks.
The best head coach and quarterback in the history in the NFL are not worried about the division competition. Instead, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are aiming once again to win the Super Bowl.
What Can We Expect From The Patriots?
Last season the team won its sixth Super Bowl on the back of a great running game and a solid defense. It should be the same way in 2019.
The running game added Alabama’s stud Damien Harris to an already loaded running back committee. The defense remains the same, except they signed DE Michael Bennett to improve the defensive line. And let’s not forget Bill Belichick will be calling the defensive plays this year.
I haven’t even mentioned the advantage the Patriots have over the rest of the teams in the division. Their quarterbacks Tom Brady remains one of the best in the NFL despite entering the season with 42 years.
Tom Brady’s Record
Brady’s record against Buffalo is whooping 30-3, but also 27-7 against the NY Jets and 22-11 against Miami. We all know New England dominates this division to its pleasure but having a 79-21 record against the AFC East is an insane number.
If we are looking for longshot value, the Jets are by far the best option. Their roster resembles a team that can make the playoffs via the wildcard. But New York would need a lot of luck to win the division for the first time since 2002.
Buffalo is not a playoffs team. Even if their defense plays lights out, QB Josh Allen is a limited quarterback in my eyes. He needs to grow a lot for Buffalo to have a chance to compete.
Miami is not an option worth exploring unless you have a few extra bucks laying around. The Dolphins haven’t said they are tanking for QB Tua Tagovailoa, but we all know they are.
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