As we inch closer to the season, we’ve been breaking down each division in football and offered our pick to win the division using the odds at our top two recommended sportsbooks, BetOnline and Bovada. We already went over the AFC North and AFC South. Today, we’ll tackle the AFC East.
We will provide odds for both Bovada and BetOnline’s divisional betting futures, but it’s still important to line shop for the best price available.
Bovada’s to Win AFC South Odds
BetOnline’s to Win AFC South Odds
The defending Super Bowl Champions have a hammerlock on the AFC East. They have won the division for eight straight seasons. They finished 14-2 in route to their championship last season. They also debatably got even better this offseason. New England is a massive favorite, but are a much better price at -1000 at Bovada compared to -1400 at BetOnline.
Miami did make the playoffs last year as a Wild Card, finishing with a 10-6 record. The Steelers quickly dispatched them in the Wild Card round. Ryan Tannehill is out of the season, and Miami has opted for sign Jay Cutler to start at quarterback. The Fins are a better bet at Bovada at +1000 compared to BetOnline’s price of +900.
Buffalo is a team that seems to be perpetually rebuilding. There are now rumors that they may end up trading quarterback, Tyrod Taylor, and running back, LeSean McCoy. They’re coming off an up and down 7-9 season. Buffalo is a far better wager at BetOnline at +1600 compared to +1200 at Bovada.
New York is coming off a 5-11 season and have jumped into a full-rebuild with offseason releases of Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall. They project to be even worse this season and are certainly in the running for worst team in the NFL. If you’re high on a team that no one else seems to care about, they’re a far better bet at BetOnline at +10000 than at +5000 at Bovada.
Our Pick to win the AFC East
It’s hard to envision a team other than New England winning the AFC East, but it’s tough to justify laying $1,000 to win $100 and tying your money up for an entire season. There’s just not a lot of value in this bet, and the betting limits are a lot smaller compared to major markets.
What team can possibly contend for the crown, if not, the Patriots? To me, the Miami Dolphins should be a natural choice as a dark horse in this division. We can all make our jokes about Jay Cutler, but he’s likely an upgrade over Tannehill, who continuously went with safer routes and was hesitant to throw downfield.
Cutler could be an upgrade for this offense and Miami was able to stay in games last year with a run-first philosophy and by keeping their defense off the field. If New England should underperform this season, and things go right for Miami, they could easily see themselves at the 10 or 11 win mark again, which might be good enough to win the division.
New England still likely runs away with this one, but Miami has some value at +1000.