2019 NFL MVP Betting Odds And Predictions
2019 NFL MVP Betting Odds – Which Player Will Win MVP?
When the 2018 season started, Patrick Mahomes was the Kansas City Chiefs biggest hope to make a jump to a more dynamic offense. Mahomes was no near to be in the conversation for the NFL MVP contention.
After all, he was entering his second year in the league and only his first as a starter. To find Mahomes in the NFL MVP betting odds list the bettors needed to scroll down a bit to see him at +6000 at the start of the season.
More than 5K yards and 50 touchdowns later, Patrick Mahomes would win the NFL MVP award after shocking the league with a fantastic performance. His story is uncanny, but it reminded us that longshots stills collect money in this business.
Well, Mahomes is now the favorite to win the award again. Can he go two for two MVP awards in a row?
Odds To Win the 2019 NFL MVP Award
Since 2012, only quarterbacks have won the MVP award. The last time a non-QB won it, it belonged to Adrian Peterson and AD needed over 2000-rushing yards to earn it.
It’s a quarterback league, and the oddsmakers know it. Let’s take a closer look at the 2019 NFL MVP Betting Odds and the names that will be competing for the MVP award:
Patrick Mahomes +500 – The Favorite
Watching Patrick Mahomes throw the football is an absolute pleasure. He is set to become the face of the NFL once Tom Brady decides to retire; if that ever happens.
Mahomes is on the offense with two of the most explosive guys available, WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce. A plus is that he has the edge of having a pretty good connection with both.
Many said the Chiefs offense would miss RB Kareem Hunt after he got cut, but the offense didn’t skip a beat in the second half of the 2018 season. The reason was tailback Damien Williams, who became a more than a reliable weapon.
Mahomes Betting Odds For 2019 Season
Patrick Mahomes is the face of the NFL now. He’s young, marketable and a stud a passer. Throwing 50 touchdowns like in 2018 it’s mostly out of the question, but he might aim for 35+ and that should put them in contention for another MVP award.
The Kansas City Chiefs offense is loaded with talent and that doesn’t hurt either. What plays against Mahomes is that the theory suggests he won’t throw 50 touchdowns again this season.
Only two players in the history of the NFL did it before him. The other thing is defenses might be a lot more familiar with his playing style. Pat took the league by storm last season, and it would be unheard of if he does again in 2019.
At 4/1 there is value in betting Mahomes to win the MVP again. However, this season doesn’t feel like it’s going to be that easy as it was a year ago.
Pat will probably put great numbers, but those need to combine with a lot of wins for his team. The problem is this season I have the Chiefs taking a step back.
Drew Brees +1200
One of the most amazing things in NFL history is that Drew Brees has never won the MVP. After so many years, so many touchdowns, and even a Super Bowl season where the Saints were destroying opponents, Brees still hasn’t put his hands on this award.
Drew enters the 2019 season at 40-years old but still performing at top-level. If he doesn’t win this year, then it is unlikely he ever will.
The Saints have a good enough offense to keep Brees in the conversation from start to finish. Not only does the team has two of the best young offensive weapons in WR Michael Thomas and RB Alvin Kamara, but they just added TE Jared Cook as a weapon. Cook should make quite the impact in the middle of that offense.
Brees Betting Odds For 2019 Season
Brees has the edge over Mahomes in the fact that his team is excellent on both sides of the ball. The Saints have a fantastic offense, sure, but their defense is also good enough to give the team a chance for a top spot in the NFC. Mahomes can’t say the same about the Chiefs defense.
There is value on taking Brees at +1200 to win MVP; he has an implied probability of winning of 7.69%. Not many 40-year old quarterbacks can sling it as he does. Age is not a factor in the discussion.
Aaron Rodgers +1200 – The Value Pick
The league is down on Aaron Rodgers only because he had an OK season last year. An OK season for Rodgers is 4442 yards, 25 touchdowns, and only two interceptions. With the moves the Packers did in the free agency adding a lot of talent to the defense, Green Bay is going to be a lot more competitive. That will only give Aaron Rodgers room to shine. At +1200 it is worth it to put some money right here.
Last season Aaron Rodgers opened as the betting favorite to win the MVP, and when the year ended, he wasn’t even in the top-10 discussion. Rodgers is set to have a bounce-back year. 2018 sure was far from the best, but there are reasons to think 2019 will be so much better.
Let’s think about it this way, Rodgers has been listening to many experts saying his best days are over. He also caught some steam because the Packers have missed the postseason in the last two season and that’s uncommon for this franchise.
Most importantly, he has a new head coach and play-caller in Matt LeFleur that might be just what he needs. If LeFleur is as good as advertised, then Green Bay’s offense will be one of the most fun to watch in 2019.
Rodgers Betting Odds For 2019 Season
The league is down on Aaron Rodgers only because he had an OK season last year. An OK season for Rodgers is 4442 yards, 25 touchdowns, and only two interceptions.
With the moves the Packers did in the free agency adding a lot of talent to the defense, Green Bay is going to be a lot more competitive. That will only give Aaron Rodgers room to shine. Let’s face it, getting Aaron Rodgers +1200 to win the MVP is a massive value play.
He’s not far away from his prime, and if the Packers want to get into the playoffs, he needs to become superman for this offense once again. That’s an MVP caliber QB with lots of value right there.
Tom Brady +1200
There are not many sports where a 42-years old player is the Top-5 list of names to win the MVP. Of course, Tom Brady is something different than what we have seen in the past. Brady looks younger at 42 that he did when he was 24, which is insane.
Brady remains a surgeon on the field, playing on an offense that allows him to age properly. The Patriots run the football well, and he gets to throw short passes to his receivers while letting them do most of the job.
Another Year, Another Brady Win?
TB12 has won the MVP award three times, but I can’t see him having another individual monster season to win his fourth. It doesn’t mean the Patriots are going to suck or anything of that kind.
It’s just that the team has other ways to win other than with Brady carrying the entire offense. This is also the first year he won’t have TE Rob Gronkowski, and that is a massive loss.
Baker Mayfield +1200
My editor asked me to do the Top-5 candidates to win the MVP, but I can’t leave without mentioning QB Baker Mayfield. The Browns are set to make a lot of noise this season, and a lot has to do with Baker.
He now has Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. outside the numbers. TE David Njoku is a freak athlete and a nightmare in the Red Zone. And their running game is covered with a solid Nick Chubb.
Mayfield Betting Odds For 2019 Season
I might be overselling Baker, but I think in 2019, Mayfield can have the type of season Mahomes had in 2018. His offense is just too talented for him not to shine. Mayfield at +1200 to win MVP, I see this one as a steal.
Other NFL Players And MVP Betting Odds
Find the rest of the NFL players and betting odds to win the 2019 NFL MVP award below:
|NFL Player||MVP Odds|
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