NFL MVP Betting Guide
NFL MVP betting is one of professional football’s most popular gambling markets.
The NFL MVP bet is sort of a hybrid between a prop and a futures wager. Its popularity as a season-long futures bet is second only to Super Bowl futures.
Betting on the NFL MVP is an unusually wide-open market compared to other sports, as there are rarely repeats in back-to-back years when it comes to the most valuable player.
We’ll show you how to bet on the NFL MVP award step by step and share the best sites to do so. Let’s start!
Betting On The NFL MVP
Best Sites To Bet On The NFL MVP In 2023
How To Bet On The NFL MVP Award 2022-2023
Before we jump into the strategy surrounding the wager, let’s go over the basics of choosing a sportsbook and betting on the NFL MVP online:
Choose A Safe Sportsbook
Be careful where you decide to deposit and place wagers. Many betting sites don’t pay players quickly or can be outright scams.
We review every sportsbook and send players only to the best gambling sites. We bet at most of these sites ourselves!Deposit And Claim Bonuses
Choose your preferred sportsbook payment method and make your first deposit.
Be sure to take advantage of NFL betting bonuses when funding your account.Find The MVP Betting Odds
At online sportsbooks, betting menus are typically listed on the left side of the screen.
NFL MVP betting odds will be listed under football odds but might also be under prop bets or football futures.Choose Your Favorite Player
Pick the player(s) you wish to bet on to win the league’s MVP award. Click on their odds to add them to your bet slip.Place Your NFL MVP Bet
The most important part of this step is to double-check everything before confirming your bet. When ready, click “Submit” on your bet slip to place your wager.
Where To bet On The NFL MVP
Rank | NFL Sportsbooks | Deposit Bonus | Highlights | Get Started |
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1 | | Deposit Bonus 100% Up To $2,500 | Highlights
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2 | | Deposit Bonus 50% Up To $250 | Highlights
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3 | | Deposit Bonus 100% Up To $1,000 | Highlights
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Read Our Review Of The Best NFL Betting Sites
NFL MVP Award Betting Odds (Updated 2023)
Bill’s QB Josh Allen (+700) is the odds-on favorite to win the Most Valuable Player award entering the 2022 season.
It shouldn’t be a surprise, considering the Buffalo Bills is the favorite team to win Super Bowl 57.
Allen made massive improvements from his first two seasons in the league, where he didn’t even complete 60% of his passes, to where he’s now. Josh threw 4,407 yards and 36 TDs last season. He also added 763 rushing yards and six TDs on the ground.
What makes Allen so hard to stop is he is a dual threat, unlike most of the quarterbacks in the NFL. He can beat you by passing and running the ball. He’s a nightmare for defenses.
The one concern with Josh Allen is he lost his offensive coordinator and play-caller Brian Daboll in the offseason. Daboll is now the head coach of the NY Giants.
Ken Dorsey is Buffalo’s new offensive play-caller. He’s been with the team since 2019 and has been next to Josh Allen throughout his young career. Yet, play-calling is an art, and finding the right chemistry with your QB takes some time.
Analyzing The Top Contenders
Patrick Mahomes (+800) comes second on the list to win the MVP. Mahomes is one of the best QBs in the NFL, but he lost his best deep weapon in Tyreek Hill, who is now in Miami.
The loss of Hill will challenge Mahomes to become a better quarterback. It takes time to adjust to losing a WR that led the team in 2021 with 111 receptions, 1,239 yards, and 9 TDs.
Tom Brady (+800) has the same odds as Patrick Mahomes to win the MVP. Brady easily could have been the MVP last season as he led the league in passing TDs, yards, and completions.
Sure, he’s 45 years old, but he doesn’t look like it. Not one bit. In fact, Brady will have arguably the best receiving corps in the NFL with Mike Evans, the return of Chris Godwin, and the new signings of WR Julio Jones and TE Kyle Rudolph.
Brady should have another 5,000-yard season alongside 40+ TDs. That stat line screams MVP in my book.
Finally, Aaron Rodgers, the reigning back-to-back MVP, is +900 to win the award for a third straight season. Rodgers, however, won’t have his best weapon of the last five years as WR Davante Adams left Green Bay to play with the Raiders.
Like Mahomes, Rodgers must replace his best wideout with a less talented cast. Adams recorded 123 receptions, 1,553 yards, and 11 TDs last season. That production is hard to match and might affect how good Rodgers’ season ends up being.
NFL MVP Candidates & Betting Odds
Below you will find a list of the odds to win the Most Valuable Player for the 2022 NFL season.
NFL MVP Candidate | Odds To Win |
---|---|
Josh Allen | +700 |
Patrick Mahomes | +800 |
Tom Brady | +800 |
Aaron Rodgers | +900 |
Justin Herbert | +900 |
Joe Burrow | +1400 |
Dak Prescott | +1600 |
Matthew Stafford | +1600 |
Lamar Jackson | +1600 |
Kyler Murray | +1600 |
Jalen Hurts | +2000 |
Derek Carr | +2000 |
Trey Lance | +4000 |
Matt Ryan | +4000 |
Derrick Henry | +5000 |
Jonathan Taylor | +5000 |
Odds available at BetUS Sportsbook.
Don’t Miss Our NFL MVP Betting Predictions
Tips For Betting On The NFL MVP Award Winner
NFL MVP sports betting is a unique market, as you’re trying to predict team and player performance simultaneously. Many sportsbooks offer updated odds that change throughout the season.
That being said, there are strategies that go into picking potential NFL MVP award winners.
Below you can find the most popular and effective tips when betting on the Most Valuable Player in American football:
Pro Tip #1You Must Line Shop
Having money at different sportsbooks and shopping the price is of the utmost importance to succeed at sports betting long term. Line shopping is vital for winning at sports betting.
When it comes to markets like football propositions and futures, it’s even more critical.
There can be a more substantial disparity in odds from one site to another when betting on which player would be the NFL MVP compared to, say, an NFL point spread.
Why Is It Important?
You may see a player at +900 at one site and +1400 at another. That is a massive difference in pricing.
It’s the difference between a $100 wager paying out at $900 (+900) or $1400 (+1400), respectively. That’s a significant change in payout!
Always shop your NFL MVP bets before placing a wager. You deserve all the money you can get if you happen to hit a massive payoff.
Pro Tip #2Don’t Rule Out Players On Bad Teams
Too many bettors get caught up with the MVP having to be from a good team or a team that made the playoffs the previous year.
Yes, it’s true that most of the time, the MVP comes from a team that made the postseason.
But let’s remember football has a lot of parity year-to-year. Teams that don’t make the playoffs often have a quick turnaround, especially from free agents signing and changes in management and coaching.
Look for big changes in coaching personnel and roster moves, even on teams that were awful the year before. That’s where the actual value is found when betting the league MVP.
Pro Tip #3Focus On Quarterbacks
Quarterbacks are the superstars of the league and are typically the primary factor for a team’s success when it comes down to personnel. Place your wagers accordingly.
The National Football League is a passing league, and it is one that protects its stars. Running back has also become an increasingly devalued position.
Not just from a salary cap standpoint, but in the eyes of experts, who value the offensive line a bit more than the back running behind it.
We agree with that line of thinking.
Past NFL MVP Award Winners By Year
Here are some interesting numbers; 13 of the last 15 NFL MVP Award winners have been quarterbacks. Last year, it was Aaron Rodgers’ turn. Again.
Year | NFL Player | Team | Position |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | Quarterback |
2020 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | Quarterback |
2019 | Lamar Jackson | Baltimore Ravens | Quarterback |
2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Quarterback |
2017 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
2016 | Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons | Quarterback |
2015 | Cam Newton | Carolina Panthers | Quarterback |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | Quarterback |
2013 | Peyton Manning | Denver Broncos | Quarterback |
2012 | Adrian Peterson | Minnesota Vikings | Running Back |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | Quarterback |
2010 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
2009 | Peyton Manning | Indianapolis Colts | Quarterback |
Players With The Most NFL MVP Awards
NFL Player | Team(s) | Awards | Years |
---|---|---|---|
Peyton Manning | Colts (4) / Broncos (1) | 5 | 2003, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2013 |
Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | 4 | 2011, 2014, 2020, 2021 |
Jim Brown | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 1957, 1958, 1965 |
Johnny Unitas | Baltimore Colts | 3 | 1959, 1964, 1967 |
Brett Favre | Green Bay Packers | 3 | 1995, 1996, 1997 |
Tom Brady | New England Patriots | 3 | 2007, 2010, 2017 |
Joe Montana | San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 1989, 1990 |
Steve Young | San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 1992, 1994 |
Kurt Warner | St. Louis Rams | 2 | 1999, 2001 |
How Is The NFL MVP Decided?
What is the NFL MVP award?
The NFL MVP award is the recognition given to the player with the best performance (Most Valuable Player) during the regular NFL football season.
Where can I bet on the NFL MVP?
You can bet at your local sports betting bookie or at online sportsbooks. Betting online is a stronger option because you can claim special bonuses, enjoy seasonal promos, and you can bet from the comfort of your home.
How is the NFL MVP decided?
Writers from the Associated Press (AP) decide who becomes the NFL MVP. The award is voted on by 50 sports writers across the country at the end of the regular season.
When is the NFL MVP Winner announced?
The results of the voting are not made public until after the playoffs and Super Bowl conclude in early February.