NFL Advanced Statistics
There are also additional tools, services and sites like NFL Savant that bettors can utilize to get an inside track on the game that goes beyond the box score which allows for a deeper study of the game and advanced football betting statistics.
NFL bets’ profitability has increased tremendously with the help of big data as it allowed to find previously hidden betting opportunities. Bettors who take time to learn how to use NFL advanced analytics are reaping rewards.
Read on to learn how to use statistics to increase your chances of winning at top NFL betting sites.
Best NFL Betting Sites 2023
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Arizona Cardinals Betting
History hasn’t been kind to the Arizona Cardinals as the franchise...
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Atlanta Falcons Betting
The Atlanta Falcons were so close in getting their first championship...
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Baltimore Ravens Betting
Betting on the Baltimore Ravens means putting money on one of the...
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Buffalo Bills Betting
The Buffalo Bills have been a stellar team to bet on since the ’90s...
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Carolina Panthers Betting
The Carolina Panthers have one of the most stable organizations in...
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Chicago Bears Betting
Betting on the Chicago Bears is taking the side of one of the oldest...
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Cincinnati Bengals Betting Guide
The Cincinnati Bengals have never won a Super Bowl, but good things...
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Cleveland Browns Betting
The Cleveland Browns have been a laughingstock since the franchised...
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Dallas Cowboys Betting
Betting on the Dallas Cowboys means putting your money on one of the...
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Denver Broncos Betting
The Denver Broncos are one of the legendary teams in the NFL with...
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Green Bay Packers Betting
The Packers are one of the league’s most storied franchises. People...
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Indianapolis Colts Betting
The Indianapolis Colts are one of the oldest teams in the NFL. Owners...
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Kansas City Chiefs Betting
The Kansas City Chiefs are going after their third Super Bowl win....
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Minnesota Vikings Betting
The Minnesota Vikings are arguably the most successful NFL franchise...
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New England Patriots Betting
Betting on the New England Patriots have long been a profitable...
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New Orleans Saints Betting
Since the arrival of QB Drew Brees and HC Sean Payton, the New...
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New York Giants Betting
Since winning their fourth Lombardy Trophy in 2011, the NY Giants...
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Philadelphia Eagles Betting
The Eagles have always been a favorite of sports bettors, even before...
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Pittsburgh Steelers Betting
Betting on Pittsburgh Steelers means betting on one of the most...
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San Francisco 49ers Betting
San Francisco 49ers betting is widespread and shared throughout the...
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Seattle Seahawks Betting
Since Pete Carroll took over as the Seattle Seahawks head coach in...
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Tennessee Titans Betting
Once known as the Houston Oilers, the Tennessee Titans are a mid-size...
NFL Advanced Stats – Win Probability
NFL game win probability added is one of the coolest new age NFL advanced stats tools in the game today. The metric has been utilized for baseball for quite some time but was only recently introduced to football. It doesn’t help us much in terms of pre-match handicapping or player evaluation but is an excellent tool for evaluating probabilities for in-game situations.
NFL Win Probability estimates the chances of a team winning based on the game situation. For instance, if 3 points favor a team is up by 10 in the 3rd quarter with 8 minutes remaining, and they have the ball on their opponents’ 45-yard line with 7 yards to go on 3rd down – they would have a win probability of 0.894 or 89.4%.
Their model uses the Vegas odds, score differential, along the quarter amount of time remaining, yard line, down, and field position to calculate win probability. Several sites utilize this model, but the one available at Pro Football Reference is the simplest and most straightforward. The analytic is broken down even further here. Win Probability is excellent for analyzing halftime lines and has its use in live betting markets as well.
NFL Savant – Advanced Statistic Central
They’re not so heavy on individual player performances in comparison to PFF, but as far as relevant statistics surrounding play calling and coaching, there is no better option. Users can break down formations for both offense and defense and will be able to search and form own their customizable football stats for betting. This makes NFL Savant one of the best sites for NFL stats. A perfect example is its offensive rushing plays analytics which can be used in a variety of NFL bets.
NFL 2017 Offensive Rushing Plays Statistics
Pro Football Focus – Best Site For NFL Analytics
We won’t go over each of their individual stats in this article because we could go forever describing each of their metrics. They break down every play of every NFL game to give players the best insight into each contest and skill level of each player. Their ranking system is excellent concerning evaluation offensive and defense matchups and offers plenty of value in handicapping player and team propositions. If there is only one tool for football stats for betting that you’re going to purchase for football season, make it Pro Football Focus.
NFL Game Pass – Film Studies
The best available feature at Game Pass has to be their condensed games. These cut out the commercials and stoppages between plays, allowing bettors to watch entire NFL games in about 30 minutes. The service may seem pricey at $99.99 per season, but if you’re betting a considerable amount each week on football, it’s well worth the price. If game film study helps you win just one or two bets a year, the service has paid for itself.
NFL Advanced Analytics Conclusion
It is worth noting that much of this information and data is utilized by the oddsmakers when they create their odds. As we’ve discussed elsewhere, the sportsbooks are extremely sharp when it comes to NFL sides and totals. However, bettors may still be able to gain an edge in the main markets if they find that the bookmakers aren’t valuing the teams correctly. These tools and statistics are particularly valuable for smaller NFL markets, such as player and team props. They are also can be excellent for futures wagers and season-long win totals. To learn more about pro football betting read our NFL Betting Guide.
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