NBA Betting Strategy
NBA Betting Strategy
Defining a solid NBA betting strategy is an important step when you’re looking to increase your earning potential along the season. In this article, we’ll go over how to become a successful basketball handicapper. The concepts below are focused on sides and basketball totals betting.
Many advanced statistics can help us see the numbers behind the box score, but bettors are doing themselves a severe disservice by only glancing at the box score of a contest or reading a game recap. Watch as much basketball as you can. There should be some time each week that bettors can dedicate to watching the game. NBA League Pass is available online and offers every game.
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#1 NBA Betting Strategy – Early Season Wagers
Basketball betting sites are the best resource to predict the outcome of sporting events. However, the lines makers, like sharp bettors, benefit from information when picking their best NBA betting strategy for a particular game. At the beginning of the season, rotations aren’t set in stone, particularly on teams where a new head coach has taken over, or the rosters have changed from the previous season. NBA free agency is one of the more active sports when it comes to trades and roster moves, so there’s usually quite a bit of turnover year-to-year.
In the early part of the season, larger line movements will be more frequent due to odds being more inefficient to start the season compared to later in the year. The sportsbooks may be a little in the dark when it comes to certain players’ and teams’ performances. We’re not saying the betting sites don’t know what they are doing early in the year – that’s far from the reality. Nevertheless, it is vital to realize their lines are not as sharp as they are later in the season when compared to the first two months, this is something you might want to consider while testing your NBA betting strategy at the beginning of the season.
#2 NBA Betting Strategy – NBA Totals
There’s a reason that NBA totals betting strategy (and college) have significantly lower betting limits than sides. It’s because the oddsmakers are considerably more vulnerable predicting totals versus handicapping sides. One of the areas to focus on here is possessions per game. TeamRankings.com offers detailed stats on possessions per game. The number of possessions per game directly correlates to the tempo and pace that each team plays.
Teams that are defensive focused and more methodical on the defensive end will be on the lower end of possessions due to their playing style. Those that “run-and-gun” and look to score in transition will score more points due to up-tempo basketball. We aren’t saying bettors should steer clear of point spread wagers, but determining how a game might play out from a tempo and scoring perspective can be easier than picking the winner on the point spread and moneyline.
#3 NBA Betting Strategy – NBA Live Betting
Basketball is incredible for live betting, in fact, no NBA betting strategy could be completed without including some in-game action. Basketball is a game of runs. Teams will often score 10 points in a row, before going cold, then the other team may go on a 15-2 run and so on. you can take advantage if you understand the game’s nature.
The main reason to use this “runs” strategy is if you liked a team as a pre-game wager, but thought the spread was a bit high. For example, if Golden State was -13, but you opted not to take them before the start of the game, and their opponent started off with a 10-0 run, this price might decrease to -10 or lower. If you liked them a lot before the start of the game – a run at the beginning of the game shouldn’t bother you, especially if you get a substantial discount compared to the pre-match price.
#4 NBA Betting Strategy – Fatigue Factor
The NBA season is an 82-game grind. Even for what some think are the best athletes in the world, the wear and tear of the basketball season take a toll on every team. Some teams react to fatigue better than others. It’s a significant factor that should be taken into each night of betting. There are multiple times during the season that teams will play three games in four nights, and there are rare occasions when they play four games in five nights.
The players are making millions and should give it all they have on a given night, we would be fools to think they are playing their best game when fatigued. Tired legs and minds equal short jumpers and careless turnovers. It’s often the team that is the freshest that will cover the spread that evening. Letdown spots are commonplace for even the best teams after a grueling stretch of games. Monitoring a team’s schedule, including upcoming opponents and the minutes of key players is a vital aspect of being a successful NBA bettor.
#5 NBA Betting Strategy – NBA Playoffs Betting
The NBA Playoffs offer a new set of challenges for basketball bettors to hurdle before a new champion is crowned. One of the best things that could happen to you during playoffs is when you have a team down two games to none going into game 3. The third game is historically the best opportunity for a team that hasn’t won a game to land their first win.
It’s also the first game of the series at home for the team that is the lower seed. The oddsmakers have caught onto this fact, but the bettors haven’t. We’re not implying that you must bet for every underdog in the third game, but consider it as a possibility if you see signs of intense action on the side you’re looking to wager.
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NBA Betting Systems
The team that has the upper hand in the game will certainly affect the amount of scoring, but if we can determine the pace of play in a given contest – that offers us a lot more accuracy in predicting the outcome than trying to handicap sides so this may be a good NBA betting system to use. The focus on totals should not be limited simply to the full game’s total. Just about every betting site these days offers multiple options for totals, including team totals, quarter totals, first half line, and halftime totals. It’s vital to realize that there is a reason basketball betting sites have lower betting limits on totals, and even lower limits on quarter, first half, and halftime totals.
It’s because they’re much more vulnerable in these markets to sharps. However, these markets do have considerably larger limits than some player props, which are usually capped at $500 or so. Mid to larger basketball betting sites will often take several thousand on halftime lines. Handicapping first half, quarter and halftime odds can be difficult, but for those who put the time into learning the league, they’re among the most vulnerable odds to spot inefficiencies when it comes to NBA betting markets.
NBA Betting Strategies Conclusion
Analyzing the teams in detail is the foundation of any NBA betting strategy. If you are going to invest some dollars in a basketball game, it would be ideal to learn about the past and the present of the teams you’re putting your money in, check their previous results, There are any injuries and penalties? Every detail matter to get a wager right. Now that you know your options, start implementing your NBA betting strategies to maximize your profits and don’t forget to visit our NBA betting page, for more useful information about basketball wagering.