Football propositions will never be as popular as sides, totals, and moneyline wagering, but the NFL proposition markets have grown leaps and bounds in recent years. We’re not just talking about extended propositions options for the Super Bowl either. These days, some oddsmakers will have 50 or more player and team props available for each game.
We touch on prop betting in our NFL primer article, but there’s a lot more to go into besides a single paragraph. Proposition wagers are some of our favorite betting markets, because of their potential profitability, particularly for small stakes bettors trying to build a larger bankroll.
Best NFL Betting Sites 2018
Types of NFL Propositions
Propositions are any wagers that aren’t related to the final score or outcome of the game. Most bettors have seen the absurd list of Super Bowl props listed each year. As much as we like betting on the length of the National Anthem or how long the half-time show will be – these bets rarely offer any value.
Player and team props are another story. There is a ton of +EV opportunities for bettors here. Let’s take a look at a few examples of both.
Remember, like sides, totals, and moneyline markets, propositions always include overtime, unless otherwise stated.
Player props are centered on a player’s performance in a particular game. The most common prop type of player prop bet is an over/under that is based on a player’s passing yards, receiving yards, rushing yards or a combination of both rushing and receiving. Almost every site also offers odds for each player to score a touchdown.
Tom Brady – Total Passing Yards
- Over 310.5 (-115)
- Under 310.5 (-115)
A bet here should be pretty self-explanatory. We can wager on Brady to throw for more than 310.5 yards or under 310.5 yards. Just like any other type of wager, if the bet were 310.0 rather than 310.5, this would open up push-possibilities. A push on a prop bet works the same as any other. Bettors’ stakes are returned.
Adrian Peterson – Total Rushing Yards
Here’s another prop on rushing yardage.
- Over 90.5 (-115)
- Under 90.5 (-115)
Odell Beckham Jr. – Total Receiving Yards
And receiving yardage
- Over 102.5 (-115)
- Under 102.5 (-115)
These bets just scratch the surface in terms of player props. There are odds for just about every player in every game to score a touchdown, and many sites have props that pit two players against in each other. Some sportsbooks even offer player props based on fantasy point performances.
Team props are going to have a larger range of possibilities. The most common prop that is available at just about every sportsbook is “Which team will score first?” There’s so many in this regard, such as, “Will a team score three unanswered times?” and so on. Like player props, the limits on these markets are only what the oddsmakers feel putting out there.
Beating NFL Props
Like all proposition bets, NFL props are heavily geared towards recreational gamblers; perhaps even more so than other sports. The sportsbooks are putting them out there for public gamblers that want interesting and fun wagers on their favorite players and teams.
However, that doesn’t mean they’re not beatable. Remember, props have substantially lower betting limits than larger markets. The greater the betting limit, the more confident the oddsmakers are with their lines.
The truth is sportsbook managers don’t put a lot of time into their proposition markets. They’re still juiced heavily with -115 base pricing on both sides, but since there’s little thought put into them – there are plenty of +EV wagers.
Stats and Shopping
Our page on NFL statistics is an excellent start when it comes to breaking down and analyzing props. Breaking down individual matchups, particularly in the case of player props is going to help players uncover some serious value. This is one area in sports betting where extensive knowledge of the sport should turn into direct profits.
Line shopping is extremely vital as well. We’ll go over the top sites in the US market for props below, but it’s important to note that props, more than any other market, will differ more widely between sportsbooks. Players can find a lot of value by line shopping if they want to get money down on a particular prop.
Player props also have some value to those playing daily fantasy football. DFS prices don’t change once they are released earlier in the week. They can be an excellent way to find value or diamonds in the rough on your rosters. The key will be using a site that has sharp odds on these markets.
Most player and team props don’t appear until a few hours before game time on Sunday morning and several hours before Thursday and Monday night contests.
Sportsbook.ag puts their odds out much earlier than other US-facing sportsbooks, but their issues with payment processing doesn’t make them an option we can recommend. However, their props are quite soft, so if you don’t mind waiting, at least, a month or more to get paid, go for it.
Find Plenty of Props at Betway
The Betway online sportsbook offers many prop bets for the dozens of different sports matches and markets they have. They usually have dozens of props on every NFL game, so head over to Betway as the football season is in full swing and start making some money.
Other Betting Sites
William Hill and Paddy Power also post props earlier than most US-facing sportsbooks, but their limits are much lower than Betway.
Best Betting Sites for NFL Propositions
Even if a smaller betting site doesn’t have many props, there’s a good chance they have a lot of them for NFL contests. Like other markets, everything is amplified for professional football. As mentioned above, props are great markets to target, but sportsbooks will often limit the bet size of players who beat them betting mostly props.
BetOnline has a solid stable of markets for props, but isn’t an elite option in the US market. They generally post their props a little earlier than Bovada, but pull them faster. They are middle of the road in terms of sharp odds. Their betting limits on most props top out at $500. Deposit at BetOnline or sister sportsbook, SportsBetting.ag, for a large assortment of bonuses, including a 100% Bitcoin Bonus up to $1,000.
Bovada continues to increase inn sheer volume of markets each year. They take up to $500 on player and team props and offer a ton of markets for each game. Their props aren’t typically sharp compared to BetOnline other higher limit betting sites. Deposit at Bovada today and receive a 50% Bonus up to $250 on your first deposit.